Baum

we will see how today's models pan out. But sadly, this is could be the event of the season for MBY....................

showed quite a bit of ice i think as well.

DuPage County: THURSDAY RAIN, FREEZING RAIN, SNOW AND SLEET LIKELY IN THE MORNING, THEN SNOW, A SLIGHT CHANCE OF RAIN AND FREEZING RAIN IN THE AFTERNOON. SEVERAL INCHES OF ACCUMULATION POSSIBLE. ICE ACCUMULATION AROUND A TRACE. BLUSTERY WITH HIGHS IN THE LOWER 30S. NORTHEAST WINDS 15 TO 25 MPH WITH GUSTS UP TO 35 MPH. CHANCE OF PRECIPITATION 90 PERCENT. LOT thinking same it seems. Guessing LOT/MKE didn't see eye to eye on WSW issuance. Milwaukee going 5-7 in SE Zones yet no watch. Interesting.

has always been weak and south...no?

the disappearance of Hardy Palm guy confirms

LOT issues a WSW for northern tier of counties. Board shrugs.

go Canucks.

the take outta beer town: THE ONE CAVEAT IS THERE HAS BEEN A TREND FURTHER SOUTH AND IF THIS TREND CONTINUES WE COULD SEE LESS AND LESS SNOW POTENTIAL IN THE CWA. WITH A PHASING SYSTEM SUCH AS THIS THERE IS A LOT OF UNCERTAINTY AS THE TRACK CAN GO FROM SLAMMING SOUTHERN WISCONSIN TO BEING A COMPLETE MISS (USUALLY TO THE SOUTH). BUT AT THIS POINT IT REMAINS A POTENTIALLY HIGH IMPACT EVENT.

that moment when you realize Chi Storm posting "southeast and weaker" after every model run as the storm approaches is your only friend.

dammit.

2/13/23 update on "The storm with no thread"

over/ under: 5.5 " MKE 4.2" Rockford 6.5" Madison 4.0 " Cary,IL

the fear of starting a thread for the incoming Thursday system is real. I thought model trends looked a tad better so far this AM. I'm still waiting for that event that strengthens as it approaches. Been awhile.

It's a sick hobby, my friend. Who attends a Super bowl bash, downs 3 bloody marys and posts commentary on a run of a weather model and uses the Rolling Stones as a reply. Life of the party.

THIS DOES NOT APPEAR TO BE SHAPING UP AS A SIGNIFICANT WINTER STORM FOR THE AREA AT THIS TIME. -LOT start the thread.

on cue: A SOMEWHAT WEAKER MID-LEVEL WAVE LIFTING ACROSS THE MIDWEST, WITH LESS-ROBUST PHASING OCCURRING WITHIN A PROGRESSIVE DEVELOPING LONG-WAVE UPPER TROUGH. SOME SPREAD REMAINS IN THE DETAILS OF COURSE, THOUGH THE GENERAL CONSENSUS AT THIS DISTANCE IS FOR A WEAKER SURFACE LOW PASSING OVER OR JUST EAST OF THE FORECAST AREA ON THURSDAY.

no.

going to be brutal having to bump this in 5 days

what should my thread title be after today's 12Z runs be?: " Madison Special Derailed" or the "The Southeast slider that changed Chicago's winter fortunes"....ill have to decide

gut feeling the Thursday storm is ours after we break 60 on Wednesday.

id take that in a minute right now.

you always have May.

sad.