Baum

checked on the storm thread and accidentally landed in the banter thread. I even miss Hawkeye complaining the overnight euro cut his totals in half. BTW,,,from LOT this AM: CAN'T EVEN TOTALLY RULE OUT A ROGUE LIGHTNING STRIKE OR TWO LATE THURSDAY AFTERNOON INTO THURSDAY EVENING.

this is our moment.

this is and always was a standard advisory level event at 3-6". Thinking a model showing a 12" snowfall 4-5 days out is fools gold, and has always been. Problem is, we post and follow them so when reality sets in were disssapointed. And I will push back on it's been a winter of events trending south and dryer. It's been a non winter south of Wisconsin and Michigan.Not one event has run the corridor from Iowa through Northern Ohio with a standard 3-6" advisory snow this winter. However, I can tell you that Milwaukee, less than an hour from my back yard had a 8" snowfall on1/29(this also hit most of far north Ill incl Mchenry county), a 6" snowfall on 2/17, and a 3-4" sleet/snow event on 2/22-23. Heck, less than 5 days ago we had a huge intense cutter through the midwest. They don't always work out for your backyard. It's just been a bad winter for the zone mentioned previuosly. But who knows maybe this one will surprise. If not, the grass will green up, the days are longer, birds are chirping at 5 am, green is poking out of the ground, and baseball is being played in florida and arizona. I love the transition to spring as well.

biggest event of the year if it verifies.

might be the first real spread the wealth event that includes the Iowa/N. IL/N. IN/N. Ohio trek all winter minus the pre Christmas Arctic wave. Shame ratios will be pretty rough. But based on 12Z runs time to get invested.

call me surprised. By March in 2014,here, I feel like the NWS basically gave up on watch/warning issuances as the public was somewhat numb.

looks lame. But 3" of slush would be the event of the season here. Not a joke.

sometimes they just go poof.

Alek to douse the flames of this thread in 3...2....1.....

can we just do pictures instead of words to name it?

and a different social media presence as well. Cause Bowme cut hard. Dude, incited near riots on the board,back in the day. Usually between midnight and 6am. It was always fun to follow the crap he started, and see folks engage, and than he usually got banned for a couple weeks. Good times.

see you in the short-med range thread to chase the next kick to the balls.

you just made me feel better on missing this. Looks like Thanksgiving 2018 at my place. You can keep that damage.

The guy that told me I'd be smoking cirrus yesterday busted bad. Have a thick overcast with a flake or two flying in the air.

confirmed.

Courageous of you to give us our post mortem. As said by many, it is a pleasure to get your insights as we follow an event like this. Oh, what might have been. Still think another shot at a decent event lurks for this area this season.

because the time for posting models has passed. It's nowcast time pretty much. And frankly, if I see another model run after the last 5 days with this event I might wretch.

i did.

overnight update:

forced into the medium range thread after another swift boot to the mid section. Oddly, it's much easier to overcome March disappointments than mid winter. Rumor is cold is on the table. Shocker.

I see LOT decided to issue warnings/advisories prior to rest of overnight runs. I don't disagree with calls, and really don't put much credence in winter weather products, but surprised this move was made now.

like the Hoosier reference, as we enter March.

Last model run I'll see tonight. Not in the jackpot. But like where I sit. Chicago metro will be bi - sected with heaviest to the south and east versus other events this year that favored north and west.

Historical knowledge says cancel at your own risk.

at this point wake up in the morning and watch the radar, my friend. It should be a beautiful presentation. As Joe Strummer once sang it's going to be "Death or Glory."