Baum

Ouch.

Coming down just west of I-355 in Chicago metro. Did not expect to see this so soon. Understood could be transient.

Read the AFD to go with it. Someone still has the potential to get 72”.

This is your winter.

I’ve already got more than I expected. Snowing and blowing out my window.

I’ll believe it when I see it. Life time early season lake snow/snow event if it were to verify.

What’s the earliest WSW you’ve ever received?

Who’s the lunatic that walked into LOT’s forecast office and started sending out forecasts?

Second event in weeks with similar look. Let’s hope it’s a long term winter trend versus blowing our load in early November

Last 60 these days is normally Christmas week

You missed the joke, my friend.

Another: https://x.com/bam_weather/status/1976018470933336268?s=61 tune in.

Can’t say I know too much about him. But on the 50 trucking terminal sites I manage for snow in New Jersey and Philly he’s usually excellent at medium and short range. Would also add his outlook is in line with most others. But to each his own with respect to whom you value. I have no preference just providing a general cross section of outlooks I come across

https://nynjpaweather.com/winter-forecast-for-december-2025-through-february-2026/ another low key analysis of the upcoming thoughts on winter from east coast centric forecaster, but with a national section as well. No hype.

I may have to start posting BAM winter outlooks soon.

Could argue the switch to highs in the 40’s and 50’s this week is a bit of surprise and a shock to the system.

Live look at your local and social media pundit

https://x.com/mikemasco/status/1979560684976500739?s=61

I’ll take 3 of these November, December, January and February.

50/50 shot is a can’t miss proposition.

The precip map for this was good for a large part of the forum. 50/50 chance of above or below average precipitation as I recall.

“I got a good feeling this year. “ posted previously in October ‘20-24

Not sure where to put these. But I’ve always liked this guys toned down straight forward approach. https://x.com/weatherwilly/status/1978632840305631546?s=61 he is east coast centric, though outlook is relevant here.

^ Ban

You will not get an argument from me that one can post anything now a days and data can be skewed to support multiple sides of a debate. Although, it would be hard to argue it has been an unusually pleasant week in many midwest locales for the last week of August. Remove the jargon listed above and think of how many people recall sweltering as the kids headed back to school and how refreshing this is as a contrast. And it does appear Lexington, KY did set a record for chill: NWS Louisville @NWSLouisville · 9h As of 5:15 AM, Blue Grass Field in Lexington has hit a low of 46 degrees (it may go colder!). This breaks the daily record of 49 from 1968. It is the lowest August temperature in Lexington since August 29th, 1986. #kywx