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Everything posted by Baum
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Winter 2021-22 Short/Medium Range Discussion
Baum replied to Chicago Storm's topic in Lakes/Ohio Valley
^ So you can call him Dr. Modelhugger same as about 80% of the non pro board members here including myself. Twittersphere rules. -
LOT actually increased my totals for today up to 2"-4". Not sure how realistic that is but sure looks like the futility record ends today. More noteworthy is how quickly a forecast can change even within a 72 hour window. 3 days ago we were looking at a bland holiday week and now we are looking at 3 snowfall events including a potential major event at least close by and an arctic blast for the new year. Should all of this come to fruition will be interesting to see where ORD stands versus December and winter averages. And yes, I am getting ahead of myself.
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Winter 2021-22 Short/Medium Range Discussion
Baum replied to Chicago Storm's topic in Lakes/Ohio Valley
Wait....Someone is posting on the 18Z GFS run on an event 5 days away, and we've already established trends 4 days into winter when we've yet to have a legit event? Hello, my old friend I've come to talk with you again........ -
at first glance that map looks ominous given the color codes than you see it's for a slush accumulation of 1"-3". Guess it doesnt matter how we get on the board just need to get it done.
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that Thunder signaled the change.
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I see Mchenry Snow voted less than 10". He does know this is for ORD and not his back yard...correct?
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Winter 2021-22 Short/Medium Range Discussion
Baum replied to Chicago Storm's topic in Lakes/Ohio Valley
and of note regarding the record late measurable snow at LOT and tomorrow's nuisance event: FINALLY, FOR GENERAL WEATHER/CLIMATE DATA INTEREST, CHICAGO’S REMARKABLE MEASURABLE SNOW DROUGHT HAS A INCREASINGLY GOOD CHANCE OF ENDING WITH THIS EVENT. CASTRO -
Winter 2021-22 Short/Medium Range Discussion
Baum replied to Chicago Storm's topic in Lakes/Ohio Valley
Fairly benign board reactions from the overnight runs outside of the usual "it's a rainer" or "it'll be a suppressed POS" crowd despite the fact we are days away from having any real clue. Nevertheless, despite the LOT futility record and the wailing and gnashing of teeth that this winter will suck it seems we have the potential for major panhandle hooker to track perhaps two weeks later than many would like but right in time for the New Year which has occurred many times before. So winter tracking season has officially begun IMBY really not much later than many years before. LOT concurs: "CONSIDERABLE QUESTIONS REMAIN WITH THE EXACT TIMING AND TRACK OF THIS POTENTIAL STORM SYSTEM, AND THIS WILL PLAY A MAJOR ROLE IN THE LOCAL IMPACTS THE AREA EXPERIENCES. THIS BEARS CLOSE WATCHING OVER THE NEXT SEVERAL DAYS AS IT IS LIKELY TO RESULT IN A SIGNIFICANT PERIOD OF WINTER WEATHER SOMEWHERE ACROSS THE MIDWEST. ANYONE WITH TRAVEL PLANS ACROSS THE REGION THIS WEEKEND SHOULD PAY CLOSE ATTENTION TO THE FORECAST. " -
Winter 2021-22 Short/Medium Range Discussion
Baum replied to Chicago Storm's topic in Lakes/Ohio Valley
the entire LOT office will have to do damage control on his hype. Good news is with it being 7 days out his damage is negligible and possible. When he goes "rogue" within 24 hours it's much more problematic. -
Winter 2021-22 Short/Medium Range Discussion
Baum replied to Chicago Storm's topic in Lakes/Ohio Valley
good to hear from you RC. As always, love the pro input. -
Winter 2021-22 Short/Medium Range Discussion
Baum replied to Chicago Storm's topic in Lakes/Ohio Valley
A Christmas miracle. Some board optimism. -
never happen. In fact rumor has it dude in 1920/21 was slant sticking.
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Welcome to the new year. Same as the old year.
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nah. no underlying meanings intended. FWIW...in my twitter days beyond forecasting he always came off as a great guy.
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https://www.chicagotribune.com/news/ct-xpm-2004-12-13-0412130110-story.html sidenote: also the night Bears coach Mike Ditka threw a wad of gum hitting a 49ers fan during a Bears blow out loss.
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or not.
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Winter 2021-22 Short/Medium Range Discussion
Baum replied to Chicago Storm's topic in Lakes/Ohio Valley
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This is standard Judith Cohen fare. Reason, I stopped following. It's rarely a forecast, but rather a breakdown of possibilities; "if this occurs it could get cold and snowy, however there is a possibility this could happen that might trigger this and in that case it would stay warm" all laced with technical met. jargon and so on. Always, with the PV dropping into the lower 48 down the line. He's JB LIte.
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Newsflash. You are in defense of a poster who randomly posts map upon map that clogs our threads with useless information with just an intent to troll. If your not aware of that you have not been paying close attention. Further, he rarely posts relevant dialogue that one could argue contributes to expanding good conversation. I am far from the thread police, but this is fact if you've been here awhile. As for Chi storm, sure he can be a little rough around the edges, but his contributions and his knowledge far outweigh those positives. To me, it's refreshing to have somebody say " shove it up your bung hole" every now and than. It gives me hope we as a world our headed back in the right direction.
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no one cares.
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never works that way. Winter will hit January 15th and last until May 15th.
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Asked for new power blower for Christmas. If Santa delivers I'll still be able to use it on the numerous leaves that have come back this week from the 55 mph winds we've had and the fact they held on trees until a few weeks ago. And perhaps I'll find my artificial outside tree which blew away last Saturday. Just to put a positive spin on the tranquil weather thus far. It'll all be forgotten when it snows at this years Masters Tournament.
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It's time to start looking to place blame on this nightmare. I'll start with LOT bringing on a forecaster name: DOOM.