Baum

when it disappears on tonight's NAM please don't panic. Of course, that's usually within 24 hours not this far out.

hmmm. He didn't it mention while trolling our snow thread.

looking good still. Seems were on track for a 4-8 or perhaps a 6-10 event. Hoping we don't land in the 3-5 advisory level category in the western burbs. Tonight's runs should really begin to tell the tale.

Thank you.

did I miss the GFS snow maps? Feel I didn't see either a 12Z or 18Z.

when i saw ICON scared me. Thought the virus thread reappeared.

sincerely, doesn't this belong in Buckeye's thread: "Pray for snow for Ohio" it's been an ongoing thread for years. It's where all the Ohioans congregate.

wrong thread.

is this where the 18Z NAM becomes my model of choice?

gonna bust high.

New Years 1985 Redux on the table

MLK Weekend outlook:

Don't disagree. Jerry Taft made a nice career in doing so. So did Roger Triemstra.

given the model trends this seems conservative even for you. If storm goes as currently progged even losing accumulation to intial warmth back end lake enhancement sure to counter that aspect by a good bit. Unless, your eyeing a shift in track from current model runs. Still a ways to go and plenty can and will change.

like a who's who of the pessimists in my neck of the woods

sh*t.

Looks like I was off by a week on this. Saw the pattern and the potential from 60 days out just came up short on timing. Pitfalls of long range forecasting.

still on track. It's all about not being in the "sweet spot" at this juncture. Board points for no one inquiring or posting " that run doesn't matter as it has yet to be sampled" but the chants of "south and weaker" or "strung out POS" have been there from the start. As usual just a snippet from RC's AFD at LOT can save you a lot of time if your in the Northern Illinois area: "THE ENSEMBLE MEANS OF THE ECMWF AND GEFS HAVE A VERY GOOD SIGNAL FOR A SWATH OF SEVERAL INCHES OF SNOW INCLUDING A GOOD CHUNK OF THE CWA, ESPECIALLY NORTH CENTRAL AND NORTHERN ILLINOIS. OVERALL, THE NBM FORECAST FAVORS THE FARTHER NORTH MORE IMPACTFUL CAMPS, SO CATEGORICAL POPS FROM NBM WERE MAINTAINED ON SATURDAY. THERE'S ENOUGH MOVING PARTS TO THE SETUP THAT NOTEWORTHY CHANGES CAN BE EXPECTED AS KEY FEATURES MOVE ONTO THE PLAYING FIELD, THOUGH GIVEN HIGH POPS AT THIS LEAD TIME, CONFIDENCE IS A BIT ABOVE AVERAGE"

pics ?

first call:

solid sheet of white including all pavement areas. Looks like Christmas for a change. And tracking a New Years Eve hooker. Better times.

your on a weather forum with a bunch of snow what do you think you're going to see?

probably dependent on rates. Have never really bought in on some of the better 3-4" totals so if that happens I'll be pleasantly surprised. More important is the worm may have turned.

RIP IMBY season opening snow drought.