PhiEaglesfan712

It got down to 9F in Boston this morning. Yep, winter is not going away any time soon.

I'm up in Boston this morning. Currently 9F.

Mean temperature is 30.4F, or -2.5 departure of 1981-2010 normal.

January 2025 is the coldest January since 2014 at PHL. It is also the coldest month since February 2015.

January 2025 is the coldest January at PHL since 2014, holding off 2015 by a half-degree. It is also the coldest month since February 2015.

It's never to early to prepare for life post-Eagles Super Bowl victory/parade. Looks like we're getting an early jump on spring, as the first half of March looks very warm.

Early look for mid-March:

Our most recent Super Bowl Sunday snowstorm:

What effects will this have on our parade in a few weeks?

You can see the script playing out: Brandon Graham winning a 2nd Super Bowl title in his final game, while Carson Wentz watches on the sideline as his former team wins the Super Bowl quarterbacked by his former backup.

We do have precedent for that, and not too long ago. In 2022, we had a la nina that peaked in between seasons. 2021-22 RONI: JAS 2021 -0.71 ASO 2021 -0.92 SON 2021 -1.06 OND 2021 -1.23 NDJ 2021 -1.24 DJF 2022 -1.21 JFM 2022 -1.21 FMA 2022 -1.28 MAM 2022 -1.34 AMJ 2022 -1.22 MJJ 2022 -0.98 JJA 2022 -0.90

I don't think we got an official la nina in 1996-97. 1995-96 was the la nina, which of course was an epic snow season. 1996 also had snow events in March and early April. That said, those were +PDO years, and neither year is good analog for this year. Of course, in spring 1997 brought the super el nino that ended up being the finale of the +PDO era.

The GFS shows a possible snowstorm in the Feb 9-11 timeframe. After that looks like great weather for a parade.

If we're going to have an el nino next year, then the la nina has to retreat very soon. Both 2005-06 and 2008-09 la ninas reached peak values in DJF. 2005-06 RONI OND 2005 -0.50 NDJ 2005 -0.84 DJF 2006 -0.93 JFM 2006 -0.88 FMA 2006 -0.65 MAM 2006 -0.41 2008-09 RONI OND 2008 -0.60 NDJ 2008 -0.79 DJF 2009 -0.89 JFM 2009 -0.84 FMA 2009 -0.67 MAM 2009 -0.42 If you want the PDO to change any time soon, it's probably best to root for a continued la nina or ENSO neutral season in 2025-26. A flip to el nino after a late peaking la nina has historically flipped back to strong la nina in year 2 (see 2007-08 and 2010-11). I'm almost sure we aren't going +PDO if we have a strong la nina in 2026-27.

My mom is 65 in May, so if the Bills were to win a Super Bowl in her lifetime, it almost has to be during the Josh Allen era. Yeah, I couldn't handle being a Bills fan. I don't think I could be able to handle losing 4 Super Bowls in a row. Heck, the Eagles losing the Super Bowl the way they did 2 years ago was crushing to me. I don't know if I could take another loss to the Chiefs. The Bills right now reminds me of the 2000-03 Eagles, before we got over the hump and made it to the Super Bowl in 2004.

My mom is a Bills fan since the Jim Kelly era, when they lost the 4 straight Super Bowls. I'm convinced they are cursed, and they won't actually win a Super Bowl until after my mom passes.

It gets better:

Go Birds!

Looks like we're headed for a continuing la nina, a la spring 2022, rather than a flip to el nino like 2006 and 2009. In those years, the la nina had already peaked by February, setting the stage for an el nino to form the following season.

Too early to tell, but tea leaves say a 2nd year la nina is more likely. Either that or an ENSO neutral season. The IRI wouldn't have such high odds on a la nina this early in the ballgame.

I still think the first 10-15 days of February will be snowy, but I have a feeling this winter will come to an end fairly early. Watch us get something like spring 2010, where March was warm and the first half of April was summerlike.

It was 20 years ago today. The last snow playoff game before this one, the Philadelphia Eagles defeated the Atlanta Falcons in the NFC Championship Game.

20 years ago, the clipper turned Nor'easter: Prior to Sunday, this was the last time the Philadelphia Eagles played in a snow game in the playoffs. They defeated the Atlanta Falcons in the NFC Championship Game, to reach Super Bowl XXXIX.

IRI hinting at a la nina for 2025-26:

Yeah, I had no idea it could snow in places like New Orleans and Jacksonville, lol.