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Brian5671

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Everything posted by Brian5671

  1. and warmth verifies most of the time chief. Do you ever learn?
  2. er um, you do that all the time....
  3. IF and a big if we can get at least a -1SD NAO we might have a chance, but a fair amount of members keep it in positive territory...but based on seasonal trends (zero coastal lows too) I''ll be skeptical not to mention a marginal airmass at the end of Feb-meh.
  4. that'll be over Detroit in a few days...
  5. and the March storms could have been big, but the trapped airmass became too stale/warm to support snow....
  6. Last spring there was a cold pool off the NE coast-no sign of that this year and no sign of a -NAO which dominated last spring. Looks like a very different setup. Feb 89 is a good match to this month, that spring-how was it? Can't remember myself
  7. just an awful pattern. It really doesn't get any worse. At least 01-02 and 11-12 were sunny dry torches all winter
  8. We'll likely have a 5-7 day window in early March-if we can't get it done by then, it's lights out after that once the torch comes
  9. I just went by Upton's forecast which called for an all day rain starting around 10am...got some sprinkles here and that was about it.
  10. The icing on the cake! A southern slider
  11. Looks like a bust on today's rain event-close to nothing here and radar is dry almost everywhere
  12. we had a 7-10 day window last year-locally, we had 3 events which dropped about 12-14 inches of snow allowing us to salvage something from the ratter of last year....
  13. we're right up there with some of the greatest clunkers of all time...
  14. It's quite possible. A rogue storm is more than likely in March than Feb especially based on recent history.
  15. we get some cold, but there's nothing to lock it in, so in and out it goes. Wash rinse repeat-any storms will cut to our west and we'll rain.
  16. His temp forecasts have severely busted in the last 5 years in what's a very mild pattern overall outside of Feb '15. I mean he missed a few of the months by 7+ degrees.
  17. DST starts in 3 weeks-it's the earliest it can be this year. Hoping for a March 2012 analog
  18. LOL. if you wake up tonight at 2am, the models will look like they did on Jan 20th-a pile of garbage-too much to fix for us...finished.
  19. models are dry at least for the long weekend-no rain til next Wed.
  20. some have not figured out its cold/snowy bias past day 7.
  21. The storm last Friday ended here with a snow squall-it was cool to see...other than that have to go back to Jan 18th where 3 inches fell here.
  22. PAC air has completely dominated the pattern....
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