How many times has it snowed this winter?....yeah, I'll go with more futility. EPS is the highest verifying model to answer your question. Ignore it at your own risk
Pattern is so hostile-too much to fix...even if the pattern became 50% better, it might not help....confidence growing that we just torch right into March
reminds me of Feb '16 when we had 2-3 events in late Feb like this. No blocking then as well, so everything cut to the west of us putting us in the warm/severe sector
11-12 was bone dry-40's every day with barely even a rain event and then the super torch in March with a few days in the 70's to near 80. This year is basically a wetter version of that year with the same well above normal temps
Also-no snow in coastal locations hurts them. The "backyard snow effect" makes people want to ski/board when they see snow in their backyard-not much of that this year around here.
I would actually enjoy a warm March and April if that's to be the case. We'd likely see temps in the 60's and 70's if you take what we're getting now and extrapolate it forward
based on what? The definition of insanity is doing the same thing over and over and expecting a different result. There's currently nothing that supports a "snowy" March
daffodils are pushing through the ground here. No ice on any lakes, even the parking lot piles from the 1/18 event are going fast....just no sign of winter at all...
the sensible weather is not all that different from 11-12-it's a wetter version, but our biggest storm was 1/18-very similar to that winter which had one event around that date and then was warm and snowless after....