Brian5671

Those record SST's doing the dirty work....

parts of NJ have had 5-8 inches of rain this morning...LOL no bust there

Just a crazy pattern this week. Modeling all of the place for today-RGEM and EURO the wettest, Euro has 6 inches over N NJ by tonight

models show it redeveloping later today, but interestingly the action comes from the SE and moves NW....some sun here currently....

you can see that the boundary has sunk south-ACY east...that should pave the way for a drier start to the day tomorrow.

has to be one of the wettest 30 day periods for sure-since this pattern started around 7/20 there's been no let up

RGEM spreads the love to areas that missed this morning's action-through tomorrow AM:

Missed the big totals here...amazing some are close to 3-4 inches on the first batch alone!

looks drier tomorrow-upton mentions the front sags south a bit after the short wave passes but before then it's off to the races...

Wet weekend on tap: The mesoscale predictability of where the heaviest convective rainfall axis will be is still low at this time, but potential exists somewhere across Central CT/Central LI westward into Lower HUD/NE NJ/NYC metro. In this region, threat for locally torrential rain and localized swaths of flash flooding exist late tonight into Saturday afternoon, with shortwave lift encountering increasingly deep moisture of 1-2 +std PWATs, apparent instability gradient, and a focus for development/SW-NE training along a stalling frontal boundary.

49 eh? That would feel nice right about now...

Same for here. NAM really dumps on us over the weekend...

Looks like a couple dry days and then back to the unsettled/chance of showers/storms each day pattern...

depends if you mix out or not...sometimes dews drop as you go through the day....my davis says 80 DP here-probably a bit high

The August 2002 analog is starting to look good....

Looks to be over by about 11am for most of us-sooner west of the city

0z NAM

based on radar looks to go N and W

models pretty dry for the next 4-6 hrs east of NYC

western LI looks to get into it. Most of it is going NNE so will miss alot of LI and CT unless it expands east

We've caught up here. Lush vegetation and weeds everywhere. 3 inches of rain in the last 2 days alone...

I do, from inside. LOL. It does give fuel for some good T-storms every day so there's that. The 1st 3 weeks of July were beyond boring with no storms.

shower just moved through here...tropical like pattern with rain potential at any time...

southerly winds keeping the convection into interior SW CT...warm/humid here with partly sunny skies 83/76

Sunset is down to 8:08 here-we fall below 8:00 in the next week or so, that's when I really start to notice things....On the plus side, outdoor movie nights can start earlier!