Brian5671
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Everything posted by Brian5671
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A fair amount of winter forecasts noted that lack of ATL blocking would be an issue
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and the warmup's are usually well over model guidance so I'd agree.
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Hopefully it's sunny-the overcast 45 degree days are the worst...
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record warmth?
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11/12 redux is pretty much what we're getting. Zero cold air, not a single telleconnection in our favor, a couple weak cutters, yawn yawn yawn.
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wow, you're throwing in the towel? You can tell it's bad. Real bad.
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I turned out the lights 2 weeks ago and not looking back, this one is toast....
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He's been god-awful the past 3 winters.
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I think we could see a string of clunkers coming up especially with the long term +NAO tendency right now
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Just 10 short days away!
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umm, there's no cold air in Canada, so despite a trough, there's not much cold to dump into it.
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11 at BDR
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what's the Iraqi model show?
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nothing....he's rambling on about Arctic sea ice. Very little writing from him since he jumped ship on the pattern change a couple of weeks ago.
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Bingo.
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pattern doesn't really improve in those 5-6 days-it's the same pile of garbage going forward.
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LOL-no one is trolling, just trying to get you to learn about basic pattern recognition-you look silly right now with statements like "it won't take much in the way of changes for us to get a snowstorm this weekend"
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too many vorts usually means not a big consolidated storm....you need to take the snow goggles off-the cards are stacked against us here. 1 in a 1000 shot
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LOL a mostly positive NAO and a very slightly positive PNA. EPO is raging positive and the continent is flooded with mild air-not exactly the stuff of significant coastal snow events, very rare to get a good snowstorm here without an arctic or even modified arctic airmass in place-the stuff now is modified polar pacific garbage
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Patttern is awful dude-just about every telleconnection is against a frozen event....
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Starting to get late...we're now out to the 2nd week in Feb...time starting to run out especially with the lack of cold. Lack of cold can work in Jan/early Feb-later, not likely
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At least that winter had a great pattern for those 6 weeks. This year's pattern has none of that
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Looks like a spring elevation event
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No cold air. Rainstorm
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Time to close the shades for 2 weeks and hope a better pattern materializes. By then it’s 2/5 and getting late quick
