Brian5671

my least favorite time here-we are past peak so it's brown leaves everywhere and mess on the lawn, driveway and storm drains

I was happy our town didn't change anything-screws up weekend plans etc. Agree, it will be mostly rain free especially east of the city. Warm too-it will be comfortable out there lol

looks like a window of dry early evening and especially places east of NYC....main show after midnight with the front.

the general public doesnt look at the specifics-if they looked closely they would see the wind threat is at 1-5AM. New NAM coming in fairly dry for the PM and evening a few scattered showers...LOL

might have to do with it being close to a weekend. Let's say Halloween was Monday-would they push it all the way back to the next weekend? Not many cancellations around here-one or two towns maybe. Most models show not much rain either (eastern sections) so the ones that postpone are going to hear it when it's dry in the evening lol.

No thanks. Last year it snowed 11/15 and that was it for 3 months...

ridicuolous. Let parents decide not government. Will be funny when it's not even raining in half those towns.

RGEM looks somewhat like the NAM with the coastal areas not raining

alot of hysteria and now models showing not much rain for the evening tomorrow. LOL

12z NAM ends most of the steady rain in the morning tomorrow. 3K nam keeps it until about 4-5pm. Both models have an opening of less rainy weather in the evening. 7pm 3K NAM

our town sent out a memo stating it's not a town event so they don't have the authority to move it, so it's on at the discretion of individual neighborhoods...if a neighborhood wants to move it fine, but otherwise it's game on. Models look like we might get a break in the rain around go time anyway, wouldn't be too bad going out with temps in the upper 60's to near 70....on a separate topic-I would think in this day and age of over the top "safety" and "protecting our kids from danger" they would have moved it to the last Sat or Sun of the month as a regular thing-less people rushing home from work, driving fast, kids out on a school night etc....but that's never happened.

drizzle fest here too from about 10am on....never let up.

especially the south facing beaches...I'd say those are the favored spots

good thing the squall line comes through after Halloween evening....that would not be fun to be hit by that!

generally over done though if you look at the past 5 years....

chop those by 20-25% Euro is often over-done on winds

same here in the burbs. Hundreds of kids here. There was some talk of moving it to the last Sat or Sun of Oct-too many people rushing home from work during the week, driving fast etc but it never got off the ground.

12Z NAM valid 8pm Halloween-gives hope that most areas will be rain free for awhile:

that's usually when it starts around here. Models showing a break in the precip late day and evening, let's hope that holds....I have 2 10 year olds- it's never rained for them

I often wonder when it's an overnight event if they downplay due to it being a lower impact time of day....

looks like we may luck on Halloween with a break in the showers in the evening (main line comes overnight and WAA showers are in the morning/ early afternoon)

have to hope one's local neighborhood gets a break in the evening-doesn't look like a steady stratiform rain....

PWATS on the euro are just over 2 inches on Halloween...looks like a showery/humid day/eve unfortunately

cleared out here-mostly sunny now and 61

incredible 2 hour rain rates here-back edge approaching but guessing we had 2 inchee for the event here.