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Brian5671

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Everything posted by Brian5671

  1. Brian5671
    the third reason is the AO/NAO-I wonder if either the MJO or the PV influenced that at all?
  2. Brian5671
    that warm water N of Australia was a warning shot that our winter was going to have issues (warm water would point to the MJO wanting to go back to 5/6 which it has now done twice)
  3. Brian5671
    When I see a cold pattern, I'll go cold, the last 3 years have been an inferno...deal with it. Just because the EPS has a solution you don't like is not reason to call it a terrible model when it has the highest verification score....had the model showed an ice age I'm sure you'd be saying it's great.
  4. Brian5671
    How many times has it snowed this winter?....yeah, I'll go with more futility. EPS is the highest verifying model to answer your question. Ignore it at your own risk
  5. Brian5671
    Pattern is so hostile-too much to fix...even if the pattern became 50% better, it might not help....confidence growing that we just torch right into March
  6. Brian5671
    fitting for this winter
  7. Brian5671
    let me guess a cutter?
  8. Brian5671
    11-12 was bone dry-40's every day with barely even a rain event and then the super torch in March with a few days in the 70's to near 80. This year is basically a wetter version of that year with the same well above normal temps
  9. Brian5671
    Also-no snow in coastal locations hurts them. The "backyard snow effect" makes people want to ski/board when they see snow in their backyard-not much of that this year around here.
  10. Brian5671
    decent model trends today with next weekend looking colder and now the weeklies-still fantasy until we're within 5 days IMO
  11. Brian5671
    I would actually enjoy a warm March and April if that's to be the case. We'd likely see temps in the 60's and 70's if you take what we're getting now and extrapolate it forward
  12. Brian5671
    could go for 3 clunkers in a row and forecast it for next year.
  13. Brian5671
    about 3 weeks after the rest of us knew it was over....
  14. Brian5671
    Possible, however there's a lot less cold this year. This has been an incredible torch
  15. Brian5671
    96-97, 97-98, 98-99 have to be up there....
  16. Brian5671
    based on what? The definition of insanity is doing the same thing over and over and expecting a different result. There's currently nothing that supports a "snowy" March
  17. Brian5671
    Red paint sale
  18. Brian5671
    whoopdee do, 20 minutes of non accumulating snow after 2 inches of rain
  19. Brian5671
    daffodils are pushing through the ground here. No ice on any lakes, even the parking lot piles from the 1/18 event are going fast....just no sign of winter at all...
  20. Brian5671
    rain moves out by mid afternoon, temps in the low 40's. I think you're fine.
  21. Brian5671
    saving a bunch of money on heating costs this "winter"
  22. Brian5671
    TORCH!!!!
  23. Brian5671
    Ha I did the same thing-I wanted to make big piles that would last. Of course it was the 80's, so snow was rare and it was somewhat of a novelty to shovel.
  24. Brian5671
    I have barely shoved/cleared here in 2 years...once last March for the 10 incher and this Jan for the 3 inches...other than that, the shovels and blower sit idle along with the 5 gallon bucket of rock salt I bought before last winter (has yet to be opened)
  25. Brian5671
    GFS has a cold bias in the LR so that's why we get these cold/snowy runs that never verify
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