Jump to content

Brian5671

Members
  • Posts

    42,177
  • Joined

  • Last visited

Everything posted by Brian5671

  1. I think worst case the balloons run close to the ground.
  2. Yep and I remember the MJO kept correcting to 4-5-6 which is horrible in the winter. Hopefully we can see some 7-8-1 this year
  3. yeah-they were worthless last winter...but just saw elsewhere that they are cold for the mid to late December time frame-take it for what it's worth-they're a tool, nothing more
  4. AO going +, NAO+, -PNA Good luck with anything sustained with that
  5. mainly NYC north and east but interesting nonetheless...still 7 days away though
  6. Not really. Looks like a repeat of last year with the cold out west and storm track up to the lakes...
  7. this board (and others) will be a wreck if we have a repeat of last year...although with that said-there's more caution this year....
  8. of course but climo is low. What does NYC average in December-3 inches?
  9. even if we get a favorable pattern it's still on the early side for snow/ice....
  10. looks like starts overnight Saturday-both NAMS have it going all day Sunday, but there's a sharp cutoff to the NW so any SE correction would take the rain out a bit earlier. Amounts are forecast to be b/w an inch and possibly up to 2 inches in spots
  11. you want "some" SE ridge-that's often the storm track along the northern edge of the ridge. Too much blocking and it's southern sliders and mid-altantic specials. 93-94 had a weak to moderate SE ridge which got us multiple moderate snow and ice events almost every week.
  12. Last year was all day 8-10 head fakes-have to hope this year is different...
  13. the model agreement on the pattern is intriguing but I'll wait-it's still in the longer term....
  14. too early to say-something to watch as we move up in time, we're still 9 days out.
  15. Judah Cohen writes today about a possible SSW in mid December this year-time will tell....
  16. That last Euro image looks like coast to coast cold could develop especially with some blocking
  17. and the general public just laps it up like a thirsty dog-every winter is going to be "severe" and cold and snowy....
  18. agree-although I think 2013 was very dry and we did well. We had a very wet October this year so that's good. November has been dry but that often comes with the arctic (dry) cold.
  19. conjecture at this point....models change in a heartbeat. Also, who wants cold in November? It rarely yields anything. Let the cold pattern wait til 12/1 or even 1/1.
  20. yeah that year and 11/12 featured dry warm conditions which started around 11/1 and never really wavered except for a 10 day period in mid to late January those years.
×
×
  • Create New...