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Brian5671

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Everything posted by Brian5671

  1. Brian5671
    wow, when you say that, you know it's bad. I see little to get excited about-a couple of small window of opportunity, but next few weeks looks bad-MJO heading to a strong 4/5 just like last year.
  2. Brian5671
    I think we can get a storm or two, but it's going to be difficult to lock in any long term cold/snowy pattern based on some of the indices right now....
  3. Brian5671
    Especially 2015 that’s once in a lifetime type stuff
  4. Brian5671
    No one is giving up just pointing out that major changes are needed for something decent to lock in. Next few weeks don’t look good. Beyond that is a crap shoot
  5. Brian5671
    My worry here is the MJO. If we see it head to 4-5-6 the cold will be muted
  6. Brian5671
    Didn’t say there would be no cold. Sure we’ll get some cold but doesn’t look like anything long lasting if you look at the broader picture. Your map is a snapshot in time.
  7. Brian5671
    Yeah we did better than expected but most of the storms had the s ones to our north and the 12/20 on warmth will more than wipe out the early month negative departures. A big PV up north and a +AO and +NAO do not look good for cold for at least the first half of January if not longer.
  8. Brian5671
    Yep. Despite analogs that showed a different pattern. Analogs becoming less reliable as base state is warmer as well as oceans warmer...
  9. Brian5671
    They had a cold/snowy January and we’re headed for warmth and cutters just like last year. So much for that.
  10. Brian5671
    It takes a brief tour in 7 and maybe 8 (low end) then heads across the COD into 4
  11. Brian5671
    Lolololol
  12. Brian5671
    Strong polar vortex and MJO headed for 4/5 doesn’t scream cold for the eastern US
  13. Brian5671
    The day 10 models always look good
  14. Brian5671
    I keep it up to the 1st but that’s it. Starts so early I’m sick of it by even now
  15. Brian5671
    yeah, it's been a long time since we've had a big January....
  16. Brian5671
    I was kidding. In the warmest of winters, it's always seems to show up 4/1. (not saying this winter is warm)
  17. Brian5671
    nope, the -NAO will show up on 4/1 as usual...LOL
  18. Brian5671
    I agree-analogs from the 1960's etc don't really work that well anymore-different base state, different ocean temps etc.
  19. Brian5671
    Still ice covered trees here and a coating of snow on the ground-rare to see it stick around that long
  20. Brian5671
    The blizzard came at the end of the cold snap-we were below freezing 12/25 to 1/5 or something like that. it warmed after the storm, but the snowcover did last awhile
  21. Brian5671
    Alot of trees here still holding ice-winds later will be interesting...
  22. Brian5671
    locally, I have about 7 inches here as well in just 17 days-amazing wet period for sure.
  23. Brian5671
    typo, I meant to type 20, not 30. Still, more than double what we have at the coast
  24. Brian5671
    back to normal climo at least for the time being. Hartford CT has approx 30 inches of snow on the season while Bridgeport has 8
  25. Brian5671
    4 wintry events this month, 12/1, 12/2, 12/10 and today. Didn't yield giant totals, but not bad for early season wintry events
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