wow, when you say that, you know it's bad. I see little to get excited about-a couple of small window of opportunity, but next few weeks looks bad-MJO heading to a strong 4/5 just like last year.
I think we can get a storm or two, but it's going to be difficult to lock in any long term cold/snowy pattern based on some of the indices right now....
No one is giving up just pointing out that major changes are needed for something decent to lock in. Next few weeks don’t look good. Beyond that is a crap shoot
Didn’t say there would be no cold. Sure we’ll get some cold but doesn’t look like anything long lasting if you look at the broader picture. Your map is a snapshot in time.
Yeah we did better than expected but most of the storms had the s ones to our north and the 12/20 on warmth will more than wipe out the early month negative departures. A big PV up north and a +AO and +NAO do not look good for cold for at least the first half of January if not longer.
The blizzard came at the end of the cold snap-we were below freezing 12/25 to 1/5 or something like that. it warmed after the storm, but the snowcover did last awhile