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Brian5671

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Everything posted by Brian5671

  1. for anything more than an inch on the grass/car tops, yeah-hate seeing the Euro never be on board for this one, looks like it will turn out to be right. Too little QPF and with temps in the 50's for 2 days and with marginal temps this won't be much.
  2. Car topper per the latest trends. It'll be near freezing and less than .25 of QPF. Meh.
  3. if there moderate rates that will work-light rates won't just like the last system.
  4. um the trend--models are cutting back slowly but surely. Light to moderate rates won't do it especially after 2 days of rain and temps in the 50's. Could be another win for the Euro which has never been impressed with this system.
  5. we are fairly stormy too which is always good-not only was there no cold in 11-12 there were literally no shortwaves to spawn a storm
  6. agree-we don't hold snowpack well here-give me a bunch of storms and let it melt 2 days later.
  7. not much there-rain ending as snow, ground will be wet, maybe a dusting on colder surfaces if it pans out at all....
  8. verbatim that's low amplitude which might mitigate the warmth a bit-last year was stronger if I'm remembering correctly
  9. That looks horrid for Xmas week (as usual)
  10. JB says the 2nd storm next week will be a cutter b/w 2 cold airmasses....rare to see that kind of post from him
  11. That's a good point. Coastals were fairly rare compared to what we've seen once the AMO went positive.
  12. Very little Atlantic Blocking back then. Similar to what we've seen the past couple of years....so it's cold, warmup rain back to cold...need the block to lock in the cold air and force the storm track south
  13. I've seen snow at 50 too--dewpoint had to have been really low for that.
  14. you always just take the snowiest models and say "pattern looks great" Look at all the factors-pros and cons and make realistc posts, then you won't be called a weenie...LOL we have not had a good pattern for a consistent snowy pattern for a couple of years now. Cold is great, but if the storms come in b/w the cold shots, it's wasted cold...
  15. check out Bluewave's post....it likely is, at least for a time.
  16. Last night only. Sunday dropped about an inch. Yeah usually BDR measures low. Surprised to see a 2 spot there.
  17. About an inch and half here. Big bust all around-models really failed on this one. Oh well, take what we can get, the season is young.
  18. welcome! Yes-December snows tend to bode well for winter as a whole.
  19. or if we had heavy rates...once it was apparant we would not see heavy snow, any day time accumulations were done. We'll get a coating to an inch or two with the back end, but that'll be all she wrote. Terrible model performance overall.
  20. Good explanation of what went wrong today. I had a feeling we were in trouble around noon when the precip field never consolidated.....
  21. a couple of periods of light white rain today-temps too warm and the heavy precip never materialized-might get an inch or so this evening as the back end swings through. down to 32
  22. Hit it on the head-agree if there was ever anything that came down to a now cast this is it....
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