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Brian5671

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  1. Brian5671
    11-12 featured a big PV like last year but was bone dry. Also had some big solar storms that fall that I wonder if they had an influence? Doubt we see anything that dry this year. Last year had the big PV but it was wetter, just zero cold air with the PV locked away.
  2. Brian5671
    Outlier. Most models are around .5 to .75
  3. Brian5671
    The old adage will apply-earlier to start earlier to finish. Happens alot with these fast moving storms-this one is more like a frontal wave vs the storm some models had earlier in the week.
  4. Brian5671
    less marine influence there. Close to 80 degree water for a time this summer which has only slowly cooled off
  5. Brian5671
    Not to mention SST's being 60 degrees...LOL
  6. Brian5671
    Climo
  7. Brian5671
    quick mover-6-9 hrs of rain and that's it.
  8. Brian5671
    Models starting to shift east with the Friday night event. NAM has shifted the heaviest precip western edge from about Scranton to Newark and the GFS appears to be following suit.
  9. Brian5671
    Even past Day 5 is a crapshoot for OP models
  10. Brian5671
    .77 here total for the 2 day event. About 65% of that fell today
  11. Brian5671
    weenie band of rain here all day....still going....
  12. Brian5671
    that dumped about a half inch here earlier
  13. Brian5671
    heavy shower coming through here now....
  14. Brian5671
    from a pandemic perspective an 01-02 style winter would work. From a weenie perspective we want 95-96
  15. Brian5671
    About the same here. Another round coming Friday night-starting to get into stratiform rain/storm season now
  16. Brian5671
    only thing worse than last year is the twin duds of 01-02 and 11-12. The Bar is set pretty low for this coming winter.
  17. Brian5671
    winds picking up here out of the east-gusting to 25 maybe 30 at times....
  18. Brian5671
    Not much here about .15 Hopefully the 2nd round tonight delivers....
  19. Brian5671
    That will likely be a problem into early winter at least-the warm SST tends to make it hard for cold to hit and hold in the east
  20. Brian5671
    moderate rain here. Models ticked back north in the end as per tradition!
  21. Brian5671
    moderate rain here.
  22. Brian5671
    incredible day here with sun most of the day-the cirrus deck now blocking out most of the sun
  23. Brian5671
    last 2 runs of the NAM have shown the heaviest rains sinking south of us...still a nice soaker verbatim, but the big amounts are pushing south....
  24. Brian5671
    CDO is symmetrical and the eye is starting to clear out for sure
  25. Brian5671
    completely calm here after a light shower awhile ago, guessing the winds come later for our area as the storm over Maine deepens
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