Brian5671
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Everything posted by Brian5671
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in other news, the Euro continues with its theme of killing the MJO in phase 2, so we'll get back to the torch in no time
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waves of squalls and high winds here. Rainfall amounts are impressive locally. Over 2 inches and counting.
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Looks like the rain may end for awhile especially western sections-another round later with the biggest winds
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calm here with heavy rain but winds will pickup shortly
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In other news the Euro/EPS is shutting down the -EPO in the longer range, if so, get ready for another torch....
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Big time damage if this verifies. In the meantime, Happy Easter to those that celebrate-gorgeous morning out there-the April sun is strong
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might see the cold next week for a few days as the trough moves east, but it will modify as it comes east so the -departures are not as robust as the midwest. Weeklies show us warming again by 4/22 give or take.
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66 here-great day
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GEFS shows most of the big cold well west of us like the Euro Ensembles
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can't make it up....however looking at the Euro ensembles most of the cold air ends up in the moutain west/midwest-we end up a few degrees below normal but not the -10 that you're seeing out that way
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Let's see if modeling holds onto the cold-typically this winter/spring it has moderated significantly as it gets closer in time.
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Too late in the year-would just be a cold rain for most. Also have to question how cold it gets, there's been very little cold anywhere since late December
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Great day out there today, already 57 here
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There's no really cool air anywhere....we're still above normal even with the blocking.
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Even with a -NAO we're plus 4....LOL
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Still clear down this way but winds have been picking up all day -
gloomy? It's clear out.
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and a La Nina-could be very active.
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Seems like there is less cold this year though-I'm wondering if I've had my last freeze already. SST's in the western ATL are well above normal so even with the onshore flow it likely won't be as bad as last year which had a cold pool off the NE coast....
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winds have been increasing here all morning-can also see the cloud deck off to the east slowing moving westward
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I've learned that if it doesn't come by late January it's generally not coming....you have a couple lucky outliers but for the most part we're toast if the pattern change doesn't arrive by then
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some including him using analogs from colder times, oceans were colder etc. What worked in the winter of 60-61 is not applicable for today's baseline....
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yep, it was time to mail it in when that happened. Models never showed anything but warmth and rain from that point on....
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Would be nice if they would shorten the season going forward but it won't happen. 162 games is crazy
