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Brian5671

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Everything posted by Brian5671

  1. Brian5671
    Boring run for sure-granted after day 6 it's all fantasy but it has 2 cutters the entire run after this weekend's cutter. At least give us an exciting Southeaster or something....
  2. Brian5671
    Too many other things to fix IMO. We will certainly see some snow chances but if you read Iso's update, there's not much to get excited about if you're looking for anything cold/snowy sustained pattern
  3. Brian5671
    completely agree. Seems like nothing wants to work out this year....no help anywhere
  4. Brian5671
    COD or low amplitude 4/5/6 could be ok-any amplitude in the warm phases and we'll torch like the 1st half of the month
  5. Brian5671
    -PNA and SE ridge sounds like more cutters or at best snow to rain as noted in the outlook. (and any cold to dump out west or best case midwest)
  6. Brian5671
    Reminds be a bit of Jan 2002 and Jan 2012-a very warm dry month with one moderate snow event around 1/20 (which was the biggest of the winter both times)
  7. Brian5671
    OP models are a joke after 5-6 days, but it's amazing to see them with zero snow for us for the entirety of the run after this weekend. Not even a 384 hr fantasy blizzard
  8. Brian5671
    Brutal out there with the wind today-19 degrees with 35mph gusts
  9. Brian5671
    It's not all that different from last year. (it's actually warmer) The same issues exist. Locked in poor pattern with no sign of an end
  10. Brian5671
    Like Bluewave said-the 11-15 day range is not all that accurate, it gets more play these days with the rise of social media.
  11. Brian5671
    Need a wholesale pattern reshuffle...not sure that's in the cards this year-Strong PV over the pole, No Atlantic help, Pacific is terrible and we have a strong PAC jet. I'm sure we'll see cooldowns like we're having now and maybe a minor to moderate snow event here and there (hopefully), but I think it's about time to toss in the towel for anything sustained for a while.
  12. Brian5671
    something better to talk about?
  13. Brian5671
    Good post by Ryan Maue about the pile of garbage models have been this winter: Ryan Maue @RyanMaue I'm taking even more interest in Weekly weather forecasting since much of it lately is awful. Forecasters have strong biases that aren't rectified leading to repeated busts. So, is winter canceled or not?
  14. Brian5671
    we can live without a -NAO or even AO but a +EPO with those 2 will just be more of the same
  15. Brian5671
    it sucks for snow around here and that's what most will care about. A day 10 rainstorm amidst a few colder days (and let's be honest this cold is nothing to write home about) is nothing to get excited about. Sorry. Last January's cold, although fleeting (nothing to block it in) was much more impressive.
  16. Brian5671
    Yep, figured that. Time to root for a Feb 06 redux-that would take care of the 20 inch problem.
  17. Brian5671
    what was last year? Had to be very close to 20 then.
  18. Brian5671
    couple snow showers here with temps around 45-47
  19. Brian5671
    As someone said, if it doesn't change by the end of January it probably won't.
  20. Brian5671
    Ouch. If we can't hold onto the cold beyond a few days, we're in trouble (and even the cold next few days into early next week is not anything that's crazy for Jan) Last Jan had some short lived but much more impressive cold.
  21. Brian5671
    Christ. That won't bring anything wintry....
  22. Brian5671
    what's impressive is that Dec '19 had a cold first 3 weeks, so most of the warmth was in 4 weeks....
  23. Brian5671
    ok deal.
  24. Brian5671
    Fair argument
  25. Brian5671
    it's winter, it's often windy
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