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Brian5671

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Everything posted by Brian5671

  1. Brian5671
    radar looks terrible....showery at best
  2. Brian5671
    Flurries here 32/19
  3. Brian5671
    7 is warm-you want 8-1-2 for cold
  4. Brian5671
    both-not much precip and what falls is sleet or rain...
  5. Brian5671
    HRRR is mostly rain city on south
  6. Brian5671
    marginal temps too-will have a hard time sticking on anything other than colder surfaces
  7. Brian5671
    30/18 here-will take awhile to moisten the column.
  8. Brian5671
    Odd-just doesn't want any part of it-although the 3K Nam is a bit better...
  9. Brian5671
    RGEM as well-still impressive north of the city with 3-5 inches-sharp cutoff right around I-80 -
  10. Brian5671
    18z NAM still meh except NW sections
  11. Brian5671
    The NAM is in its good range, so hard to discount its solution of almost nothing, but RGEM and EURO are robust. GFS in between. A good forecast would be 1-3 with highest amounts N and W of the city....
  12. Brian5671
    Euro is 2-4 inches north of the city...1-2 in the city and LI and not much south of the city-maybe a coating then rain.
  13. Brian5671
    that's why I laugh when people say "wow the posters in the NE forum are excited!" Means little further south in NYC
  14. Brian5671
  15. Brian5671
    Looks like snow/sleet/rain showers depending on locale....meh. 3K is a little better north of the city
  16. Brian5671
    We had one come up mid January but there was no cold air. Yawn, same ol hype story every year. Great Pattern by mid Jan! Snowmaggedon II is coming! Blah blah blah.
  17. Brian5671
    its weird-CT/MA/RI now do well with the storm, initially it was questionable whether the dry air would keep precip out. Now the initial wave comes so far north due to the SE ridge....
  18. Brian5671
    cold air is marginal. Will have to come down heavy to stick
  19. Brian5671
    yeah it's white rain for many here or maybe car topper type stuff.
  20. Brian5671
    Turd here. Missed the 2/6 storm complelely, the 2/10 stoirm gave us 5-6 inches and the 2/25 storm was mainly rain-2-3 inches of slop at the end. The only storm we did well in was the December storm. We had about 25-30 inches-so not a total dud like further north, but wasn't great like NYC-DC
  21. Brian5671
    Blocking with polar/pacific air is useless. As is too much blocking. The upcoming pattern reminds me of 09-10 which is generally not good for NYC and points north.
  22. Brian5671
    The writing was on the wall about a week to 10 days ago when the models bailed on the big cold. It's just not that cold. Today is considered "cold" and it's around 35 for the high which is roughly average for this time of year.... North American snowcover is at an all time low and the Great Lakes are warm/ice free. Hard to say for sure, but there's been other long term periods of relatively snowless winters. Regardless, we are clearly into one as snowfalls the last 3-4 yrs have been few and far between.
  23. Brian5671
    agreed, but most of the subforum is .25 or less. Yawn.
  24. Brian5671
    yeah I don't get it-I know the Euro was typically a pay model so maybe that was part of it-but how many times have you seen people buy into the GFS OTS bias only to get burned?
  25. Brian5671
    with a track of the second low I can see how it rains-regardless-QPF is minimal anyway
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