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Powerball

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Everything posted by Powerball

  1. Also, he specifically references 2011 and 1980 as analogs:
  2. Larry Cosgrove is thinking the death ridge is here to stay, at least until mid-August east of the Rockies and well into the fall across the SW.
  3. As one last weak shortwave track around the periphery of the ridge, some convection has developed this morning in SE Oklahoma and SW Arkansas along with mid-level cloud cover, moving SSE. Although it shouldn't have a huge impact on the overall forecast, it may help to keep temps a bit cooler than expected in areas affected by the cloud debris & outflow boundaries, depending on how widespread the activity becomes.
  4. DFW made it to 99°F today, making it the hottest day of the year.
  5. A Heat advisory has now been issued for Houston as well. In fact, almost the entire states of OK and TX are under a heat advisory for the weekend.
  6. After being socked in convective debris all morning, it has finally mixed out around noon with clear skies & full sun. Today's record high is 101*F, which (unless mixing overachieves big time as the HRRR indicates) should be safe. Saturday's record high for DFW is 103*F which (based on current model projections) is in jeopardy of being broken.
  7. Today's high at DFW was 94*F.It could potentially be the last time we see highs in the 90s for a while.
  8. I got your point. My post was just more evidence towards proving your point. I know on weather forums like this, folks tend to be overwhelmingly in love with snow and prefer colder weather, but that doesn't necessarily translate into the real world with the brisk migration that's been ongoing to the Sunbelt over the past 40 years.
  9. Seeing some towering CU outside. With the remnant outflow boundary from yesterday overhead, might get some pop up storms.
  10. DFW should finally see its first 100*F high of 2022 by Sunday at the latest. Tomorrow's in jeopardy because we might see another repeat of Wednesday with a MCS passing by.
  11. I feel mostly the same way about Michigan, and its winters.
  12. Got 89'd at DFW today before the outflow boundary moved through.
  13. You said they love cold wet days... Or did you mean to say hate?
  14. Why would tomato plants be rotting out because of something they love?
  15. 90*F+ temps are in Jeopardy today, with that MCS moving in. The portion moving towards DFW is weakening, *BUT*, not soon enough to avoid at least some outflow influence & cloud debris.
  16. All of the top 4 fastest growing metro areas (DFW, Phoenix, Houston and Atlanta) have hot climos.
  17. Am peeping out some of the latest CAMs attempting to bring the MCS from tonight into North Texas tomorrow. Could be interesting if they're onto something.
  18. The trend towards more of an omega block pattern in the mid-range isn't too surprising, especially with the MJO in a cooler phase. That's been the status quo much of this spring.
  19. 18z GFS shows highs of 100*F+ for DFW the entire run through starting Friday.And that's not to diminish the fact that it will already be well into the 90s the rest of this week.
  20. I would be lying if I said I wasn't a bit a concerned that ongoing MCS in OK will impact North Texas later today. Upper level shear is kind of lacking and capping is pretty stout now (which botg should make it harder to maintain organization), but this complex is tied to a MCV which tend to do their own thing while both the corfidi vectors and instability gradient would support propagation into this region.
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