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Powerball

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Everything posted by Powerball

  1. Powerball
    Today's high at DFW was 93*F. Also, FWD is calling for temps in the 90s throughout the entire 7-day forecast.
  2. Powerball
    Wind direction. Northern Florida is seeing a strong NE flow from over land and the cooler Atlantic water, whereas you all are getting a strong southerly flow from the warm GOM.
  3. Powerball
    This map of the GOM says it all: It's weird here too, because normally dewpoint will mix out as we head into peak heating, and that hasn't been happening. If anything, they've been increasing.
  4. Powerball
    I wouldn't put too much weight into the long range model solutions right now. Between the positive feedback loop with the ongoing/worsening drought across NM / TX and no signs of a -NAO / +PNA occurring, those solutions are liable to change. They're already starting to trend away from the trough-y solution and more towards a torch.
  5. Powerball
    94*F it is...
  6. Powerball
    Gonna have to wait and see yet again if we saw an intra-hour high of 95*F at DFW (both the 4pm and 5pm observations were 94*F).
  7. Powerball
    Amarillo recorded its earliest 100*F day ever today, by 8 days. Their records go back 130 years...
  8. Powerball
  9. Powerball
    While vegetation is lagging in its growth across the Midwest, on the flip side, you also have a considerably warmer than normal Gulf this season too (in a region where this Spring has been fairly torchy) that will aid in moisture advection northward.
  10. Powerball
    Record highs will shatter as dangerous heat wave sizzles Texas, South this weekend
  11. Powerball
    A new line of storms is trying to develop from Fort Worth to just east of Sherman. If it can organize and sustain itself, this should impact much of the Metroplex. Probably won't be severe though.
  12. Powerball
    Looks like a hop and a skip it is...
  13. Powerball
  14. Powerball
    I'm not complaining. I'll take brown dusty any day over the Decembrils that have seemingly become the new norm for you guys...
  15. Powerball
    The heavy rains the past couple of weeks have mostly been on the NE edge of the drought area in the SW part of the Plains, so they didn't do much to bust it At this point though, the damage is done. Positive feedback loop incoming for the near-term...
  16. Powerball
    12z EURO is showing 7 straight days of 90*F+ temps for Dallas from 5/7 to 5/14, and based on the upper level pattern it depicts, with no end in sight.12z GFS isn't as extreme, but still show 90s starting 5/7 through 5/13.
  17. Powerball
    The RAP has been gradually trending slower with tomorrow's cold front. If the trend is legit, would definitely increase the severe threat for DFW as the storms will have time to organize before moving SE of here.
  18. Powerball
    Only got a few weak rumbles of thunder and grazed by some fat raindrops here. Will have to see what happens (if anything) tomorrow morning...
  19. Powerball
    Yep, I was just coming here to mention it.
  20. Powerball
    If a storm can manage to sustain itself, yes. Time is of the essence though, because the later we get into the evening and surface temps fall, the cap will strengthen again.
  21. Powerball
    As the FWD sounding that was posted above implied, storms are struggling to develop in Texas (outside the panhandle) because, while weak, the cap remains just strong enough with the nebulous forcing to surpress updrafts. We'll see if that changes in the next few hours. But the better dynamics/forcing won't shift SE into North/Central Texas until tomorrow morning.
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