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Powerball

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Everything posted by Powerball

  1. Part of the reason why this thing has struggled to grow upscale, besides the stable lower levels, is because the better ascent is fleecing with the MCV having already pushed into MI. Hopefully not a "too little, too late" situation. Even so, that cell means business for the relatively small area in its path with the shear in place.
  2. Crazy amount of lightning with those storms in Southern WI. Nearly 700 strikes per minute.
  3. We may finally be seeing signs of organization with the convection just west of Madison.
  4. It's early and a big watch area. That Central IN activity could still blow up yet given the impressive low level convergence.
  5. It is concerning that there's been no real organization yet with the MCV that's about to cross Lake Michigan. That, and the storms developing in Central IN may cut off moisture inflow.
  6. In 2012, August finally cooled down, but I remember May through July being a wall-to-wall torches as well while April was fairly pedestrian. If I'm not mistaken, 2012 ended up being the warmest Summer on record in Detroit at the time, even surpassing 2011. Detroit was closer to the NE edge of the ridge as well, so we also had more severe episodes than maybe your area (although the derecho was a wide miss to the south).
  7. Way too early to make that call, IMO. We certainly won't be seeing the consecutive weeks of widespread 100*F+ highs that we did in 2011, and what seems to be persistent -NAO blocking will also throw a wrench into how the pattern evolves That said, it is certainly looking like this Summer will be on the hotter / drier end for the Central and SW part of the country.
  8. Y'all should already know, these setups rarely come easy.
  9. From all the pictures and storm reports I saw, 6/1 was definitely a impressive storm for the city proper.
  10. FWD has pulled the trigger on an Excessive Heat Warning from 1pm to 7pm today.
  11. If DFW makes it to at least 105°F today, it would be the earliest Dallas has seen a temp this warm in 95 years, only beat by 5/27/1927 with a high of 107°F. It would also be the earliest Dallas has ever seen a daily average this warm on record (92°F)
  12. DFW has broken the record high miminum again today, with a low of only 80°F (previous record was 79°F).Record high today is also 103°F, which should be tied or broken again.
  13. Can I please have the link to that site? I'd like to use it as well.
  14. NWS San Antonio has upgraded the I-35 corridor to an Excessive Heat Warning. FWD says they will hold off for now and re-assess once today's highs are confirmed.
  15. Also, he specifically references 2011 and 1980 as analogs:
  16. Larry Cosgrove is thinking the death ridge is here to stay, at least until mid-August east of the Rockies and well into the fall across the SW.
  17. As one last weak shortwave track around the periphery of the ridge, some convection has developed this morning in SE Oklahoma and SW Arkansas along with mid-level cloud cover, moving SSE. Although it shouldn't have a huge impact on the overall forecast, it may help to keep temps a bit cooler than expected in areas affected by the cloud debris & outflow boundaries, depending on how widespread the activity becomes.
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