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Powerball

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Everything posted by Powerball

  1. Record highs will shatter as dangerous heat wave sizzles Texas, South this weekend
  2. A new line of storms is trying to develop from Fort Worth to just east of Sherman. If it can organize and sustain itself, this should impact much of the Metroplex. Probably won't be severe though.
  3. I'm not complaining. I'll take brown dusty any day over the Decembrils that have seemingly become the new norm for you guys...
  4. The heavy rains the past couple of weeks have mostly been on the NE edge of the drought area in the SW part of the Plains, so they didn't do much to bust it At this point though, the damage is done. Positive feedback loop incoming for the near-term...
  5. 12z EURO is showing 7 straight days of 90*F+ temps for Dallas from 5/7 to 5/14, and based on the upper level pattern it depicts, with no end in sight.12z GFS isn't as extreme, but still show 90s starting 5/7 through 5/13.
  6. The RAP has been gradually trending slower with tomorrow's cold front. If the trend is legit, would definitely increase the severe threat for DFW as the storms will have time to organize before moving SE of here.
  7. Only got a few weak rumbles of thunder and grazed by some fat raindrops here. Will have to see what happens (if anything) tomorrow morning...
  8. If a storm can manage to sustain itself, yes. Time is of the essence though, because the later we get into the evening and surface temps fall, the cap will strengthen again.
  9. As the FWD sounding that was posted above implied, storms are struggling to develop in Texas (outside the panhandle) because, while weak, the cap remains just strong enough with the nebulous forcing to surpress updrafts. We'll see if that changes in the next few hours. But the better dynamics/forcing won't shift SE into North/Central Texas until tomorrow morning.
  10. The equillibrium is kind of balancing out right now for the Plains, which has been fairly quiet region-wide the past several years. I'm more interested to see when the tide will turn for DFW specifically. It still continues to luck out so far with near-misses from the widespread/intense severe weather events we've seen (aside from some modest hail storms), ever since the June 2019 Derecho and then the October 2019 tornado in Dallas. I imagine the Metroplex's luck will also run out eventually.
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