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SnoSki14

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Everything posted by SnoSki14

  1. SnoSki14
    Looks mild & dry for several weeks. If we're lucky maybe this will be the default pattern that takes us right into spring.
  2. SnoSki14
    MJO looks to head towards phase 7 after New Year. If this is correct then we should see colder weather start showing up again.
  3. SnoSki14
    Coldest of the season with 15F. Thankfully it's only a couple days of this and then we mild for several weeks.
  4. SnoSki14
    Darn it I'm too far south of this thing though did just get a snow squall warning alert.
  5. SnoSki14
    We'll get a short taste tomorrow night as a small arctic lobe swings through. Models actually trending colder as we get closer. Widespread low to mid teens look likely with very gusty winds. Probably sub-zero wind chills.
  6. SnoSki14
    Trough might back in from the east as today's Euro suggests.
  7. SnoSki14
    You do know you live in New England right, the place of endless, crappy Springs.
  8. SnoSki14
    We'll get our MECS/HECS in March and another crappy, blocky spring.
  9. SnoSki14
    The mostly -AO & neutral to negative -NAO favor the former. Our corner of the CONUS will probably continue to be much cooler vs the rest of the country.
  10. SnoSki14
    Good bring on the spring-like weather. Had enough of this cold rain and if it's clearly not gonna snow then bring on the warmth. Tho in reality im looking at the indices particularly the AO and it looks mostly negative. MJO isn't guaranteed to enter phase 6 either so maybe not a crazy torch like 2015. Signs of a -EPO to start January paired with a -NAO/AO and good climo should lead to better outcomes after the torch ends. MJO could head towards phase 7/8 as well.
  11. SnoSki14
    I'm glad to avoid the ice but another cold rainy super soaker is beyond depressing. Models give us solid 1-2" amounts. Give me 01/02 or 11/12 over this crap any day.
  12. SnoSki14
    HRRR suggests some dynamic cooling could take place as heavier precip hits however that should primarily impact those areas you've mentioned. Still very concerned about a significant ice event for those folks.
  13. SnoSki14
    Feels like ever since last November mother nature's been screwing with city officials & they swallow the bait each time.
  14. SnoSki14
    Unless you're 88 who thinks every event will magically turn snowy.
  15. SnoSki14
    Shocking.
  16. SnoSki14
    I honestly don't think there's much of a norm anymore. We're chasing moving targets and getting increasingly more unusual pattern combos due to AGW. I think we'll try to revert back to the 80s style -AMO pattern but it'll be nothing like that decade when you'll compare the two.
  17. SnoSki14
    EPS supports CONUS wide torch, Pacific jet howling as MJO approaches warmer phases. But sure whatever you say. Colder air will hold off until after the New Year.
  18. SnoSki14
    Complete inferno. 60s & 70s Xmas week?
  19. SnoSki14
    Wow what an inferno, December 2015-esque.
  20. SnoSki14
    Mostly yes, they'll be some mixed precip at the onset but for NYC proper it'll mainly be a cold rain atm. It's the areas just N&W that'll deal with icy conditions.
  21. SnoSki14
    Having dews in the teens right now is a little concerning. WWA is up for my county though it's very borderline as the icing problems should be just north of us.
  22. SnoSki14
    In the 2010s? March is when winter starts for NYC metro. The cold/snowy Nov & March has been one of the most consistent pattern couplets this decade.
  23. SnoSki14
    It'll be close temp wise but yes the northern 1/3 of NJ into CT could deal with very messy conditions. Hopefully things trend warmer. Generally anyone near 30F with dews in the teens currently will have problems later today and especially tomorrow.
  24. SnoSki14
    Wow that's horrendous. Isotherm will score big time if that's correct. SNE should be very thankful for those snow events.
  25. SnoSki14
    December will hoist a positive anomaly if Euro/EPS are correct. Both show a torch pattern after the midweek cold blast passes. December could end up +1.5 or better.
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