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SnoSki14

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Everything posted by SnoSki14

  1. SnoSki14
    Dreadful day. 46F now with showers. We always get a few of these days each May.
  2. SnoSki14
    Luckily it's late enough that even an anomalously cold airmass still isn't cold enough to get temps down to freezing. In fact freezing temps would challenge all time May lows. Still 35/36 is nothing to scoff at and a few models like the NAM suggest even colder temps.
  3. SnoSki14
    If this were April 9th we probably would've had a legit snowstorm with temps in the 20s under this setup.
  4. SnoSki14
    Less amped solutions could be right here which means someone's in for a surprise.
  5. SnoSki14
    GFS went way south. Wonder if models are too amped with this. NAO/AO turning negative too.
  6. SnoSki14
    Pushing 80s after May 15th? Maybe higher.
  7. SnoSki14
    It'll depend on where the shortwave tracks.
  8. SnoSki14
    Dews dropping and winds picking up. Temps will start falling soon. We could be stuck near 50 on Wednesday.
  9. SnoSki14
    Self-destructive sun likely with strong cold pool aloft. Could see a lot of afternoon showers. Coastal threats popping up as well midweek and weekend. Rare May flakes are not out of the question.
  10. SnoSki14
    Models could be too quick to break down the pattern but as of now there's hints of warmer weather near or just after mid May. A lot of morning cloud debris could make 80F out of reach, will be close.
  11. SnoSki14
    Nicest day in weeks. Tomorrow looks awesome too then things go downhill. Next weekend looks yuck. Multiple highs in 50s lows in 30s. Frost/freeze potential in colder areas probable. I guess it could be worse. I've seen highs in the 40s for May before.
  12. SnoSki14
    80F tomorrow?
  13. SnoSki14
    Blockbuster type pattern had it been Nov-March. Even early to mid April it would've been good. Models could be overdoing the amplification though but I do think we'll see some 30s before mid May.
  14. SnoSki14
    Manuary
  15. SnoSki14
    Ridiculous GFS run for 1st half of May. Record lows would be likely.
  16. SnoSki14
    By May even cooler weather still feels okay. The exception is a coastal or any prolonged onshore flow. That being said a high in the 50s is definitely well below normal for May which is pushing 70+ for climo.
  17. SnoSki14
    Wet and windy tomorrow. A wind advisory wouldn't surprise me.
  18. SnoSki14
    May is always a marginal month for severe and the pattern starting next week will put a lid on severe threats. Don't think things will change much until late May or June.
  19. SnoSki14
    50s and potentially 30s for lows is very cool for May and is relatively chilly. Still it could be a lot worse and it may very well be. I'm seeing hints of a -NAO/AO along with a -EPO which could be a prelude to rare mid May coastal storms.
  20. SnoSki14
    There's been a trend to slow it down. Sunday will easily be the better day. Just checking Boston 10 day and yeesh it's like in the low-mid 50s everyday. That's like March down here, how do you guys survive such prolonged dreariness.
  21. SnoSki14
    Agreed though I'm not sure it'll surpass 77F. I don't see anything that says prolonged warm pattern. If anything things get more anomalous by May 10 & beyond as we see more -EPO influence and +PNA. Some rare 30s for lows wouldn't be shocking this May.
  22. SnoSki14
    Definitely thought this would've occurred in March like past years but March-May have been flip-flopping where at least one of those months torch. This year it was March as April is a lock to be BN and May looks to be heading that way too.
  23. SnoSki14
    There's a transient ridge that allows warmer air to come in but general blockiness out west means any ridging will be temporary. In fact the ridging in the west will only intensify which means the trough in the east will get deeper after May 4th. Also seeing ridging in EPO/AO/NAO regions as well which will only reinforce the cooler/stormy pattern.
  24. SnoSki14
    And they live in the NYC metro...not exactly a snow haven.
  25. SnoSki14
    There's a lot of heat in the south though. Gulf is on fire. I think once this cool pattern breaks we may be in for some sizzling temperatures. I do think it'll be active though and the tropics will be extra active this year.
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