SnoSki14
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Everything posted by SnoSki14
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OBS and nowcast Thursday morning 2/18 - 11PM Friday 2/19/21
SnoSki14 replied to wdrag's topic in New York City Metro
Nice burst looks like sidewalks are mostly covered again. -
OBS and nowcast Thursday morning 2/18 - 11PM Friday 2/19/21
SnoSki14 replied to wdrag's topic in New York City Metro
Getting a burst of snow from it. -
50 is our norm in mid March. What is yours, mid 40s?
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OBS and nowcast Thursday morning 2/18 - 11PM Friday 2/19/21
SnoSki14 replied to wdrag's topic in New York City Metro
Maybe but these back-ends haven't been working out very well. -
It doesn't make sense to me at all. March is snowier than Nov & Dec on average even down to NYC. So you guys definitely have another month plus of chances.
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How's near 50 in late Feb a torch?
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OBS and nowcast Thursday morning 2/18 - 11PM Friday 2/19/21
SnoSki14 replied to wdrag's topic in New York City Metro
Very unimpressed. Lift is weak I don't see how we get more than some snow showers. -
Feb 18-19 long duration manageable snow and ice event
SnoSki14 replied to wdrag's topic in New York City Metro
I wouldn't bet on it. -
It's been showing that for a while and always backed off.
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Well I'm ready for winter to end now, it's been a good run. Very close to 40" with nearly 3 weeks of snow cover. This after extremely low expectations this year. Not discounting another snow event before everything completely wraps up but given tellies, MJO it looks very unlikely.
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OBS and nowcast Thursday morning 2/18 - 11PM Friday 2/19/21
SnoSki14 replied to wdrag's topic in New York City Metro
If there's no 2nd part to this then we'll probably muster 4" which is a bit disappointing but I'll take it. -
OBS and nowcast Thursday morning 2/18 - 11PM Friday 2/19/21
SnoSki14 replied to wdrag's topic in New York City Metro
Roads are gonna be a mess with a crusty layer of ice on top. Only 26F -
OBS and nowcast Thursday morning 2/18 - 11PM Friday 2/19/21
SnoSki14 replied to wdrag's topic in New York City Metro
It looks like we're about to mix soon. -
OBS and nowcast Thursday morning 2/18 - 11PM Friday 2/19/21
SnoSki14 replied to wdrag's topic in New York City Metro
The sleet shouldn't be racing north given the cutoff to the snows is over extreme NW Jersey, which indicates a strong cold high press. At least not during heavier precip rates. Ultimately the area just north of the main mixing line will jackpot. Probably localized 10" totals. -
OBS and nowcast Thursday morning 2/18 - 11PM Friday 2/19/21
SnoSki14 replied to wdrag's topic in New York City Metro
We should get 2-3 hours of mod-heavy snows before sleet fully mixes in. -
OBS and nowcast Thursday morning 2/18 - 11PM Friday 2/19/21
SnoSki14 replied to wdrag's topic in New York City Metro
Probably some subsidence after the strong band rolled through. The main area of sleet is now building in SW NJ. Just north of the sleet will be where the heaviest snow falls. -
OBS and nowcast Thursday morning 2/18 - 11PM Friday 2/19/21
SnoSki14 replied to wdrag's topic in New York City Metro
Yeah snowfall rates are really crappy right now. -
OBS and nowcast Thursday morning 2/18 - 11PM Friday 2/19/21
SnoSki14 replied to wdrag's topic in New York City Metro
Getting heavier with larger flakes now. 25F -
OBS and nowcast Thursday morning 2/18 - 11PM Friday 2/19/21
SnoSki14 replied to wdrag's topic in New York City Metro
Assuming those returns in east PA/west NJ are all snow we're about to get smoked here in Somerset. -
OBS and nowcast Thursday morning 2/18 - 11PM Friday 2/19/21
SnoSki14 replied to wdrag's topic in New York City Metro
Looks like it backed off on the coastal but I don't think we'd complain if 8-10" fell. Still worried about sleet. Will be fighting it later on. -
Not necessarily. It's not unusual for warmer mid-level air to get further north than expected...in fact it should be expected at this point.
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OBS and nowcast Thursday morning 2/18 - 11PM Friday 2/19/21
SnoSki14 replied to wdrag's topic in New York City Metro
Wow really. -
Feb 18-19 long duration manageable snow and ice event
SnoSki14 replied to wdrag's topic in New York City Metro
Do you have the link to monitor where sleet is. -
Feb 18-19 long duration manageable snow and ice event
SnoSki14 replied to wdrag's topic in New York City Metro
It'll be fine. A general 4-6" is likely with higher amounts possible. -
Feb 18-19 long duration manageable snow and ice event
SnoSki14 replied to wdrag's topic in New York City Metro
In almost every instance there's been last second north shifts so I wouldn't be surprised to see one here.
