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SnoSki14

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Everything posted by SnoSki14

  1. SnoSki14
    I see a potential gulf coast aka Miller A storm. Ensembles strongly hinting at it.
  2. SnoSki14
    Chances look really good for more snow 1st half of Feb and likely beyond. Pretty ideal west-based NAO block on ensembles with blocking in the Arctic and up to Alaska.
  3. SnoSki14
    Well today was a wild ride. I have about 18" and it's still snowing lightly. If it didn't sleet we would have easily exceeded 2 feet. I see the HRRR/Nam and other models giving us a general 2-4 tonight through tomorrow so that could put us over 20" when all is said and done. Congrats to those who broke the 2' barrier. This was easily the best storm since Jan 2016.
  4. SnoSki14
    Regardless if next week's Euro storm happens or not the coldest airmass of the season is likely to follow. Single digits possible. Today's widespread snows will help too.
  5. SnoSki14
    Now it's a sleet storm. That 700mb low placement is hurting us. Regardless I have well over a foot and now they'll be a crusty later of ice on top solidifying the pack.
  6. SnoSki14
    Firehose from the metro through N/C NJ. If this keeps up for a few hours I'll be near 20".
  7. SnoSki14
    Getting a lot of sleet now for whatever reason.
  8. SnoSki14
    I'm in Somerset and it's nuts out there. Some sleet mixes in from time to time but mostly very heavy snow.
  9. SnoSki14
    I have to be nearing a foot. The rates are insane right now. I'm in the orange on radar.
  10. SnoSki14
    Hopefully the sleet goes too
  11. SnoSki14
    Heavy snow though sleet is still mixing in.
  12. SnoSki14
    HRRR finally has a clue. Still might be correcting though.
  13. SnoSki14
    Snow is picking up. Better growth rates and radar is looking good.
  14. SnoSki14
    Snows picking up around Somerset. Maybe a bit of sleet mixed in but that should go away as snow gets heavier.
  15. SnoSki14
    Yes it's starting to come together. Things should crank again very soon.
  16. SnoSki14
    Personally I'd be pretty satisfied with the current 6" I have. Getting two 6"+ storms in what was supposed to be a dud winter is a win. No need to panic yet. Miller Bs can have a lull period before they really get going.
  17. SnoSki14
    I'd rather let things play out first before sounding the alarm. Precip is very light hence the sleet. We're still waiting for the coastal to fully take control.
  18. SnoSki14
    Hopefully that's the case. The latest HRRR only gives us another 6-8" which isn't bad of course but would be a significant bust.
  19. SnoSki14
    What are your thoughts on the models? Is the benign HRRR out to lunch here.
  20. SnoSki14
    If there's an explosion of precip like the Rgem/Nam or Euro show then yes that'll collapse down.
  21. SnoSki14
    We'll know in 2-3hrs. If the Nam/Euro are correct then there should be an explosion of precip that encompasses most of NJ & NYC. If that doesn't happen then the HRRR/3K Nam will be correct.
  22. SnoSki14
    It's not. Getting sleet in north central NJ.
  23. SnoSki14
    Models are surprisingly kind of all over the place with the HRRR, Nam 12K, Nam 3K, Rgem.
  24. SnoSki14
    Snow/sleet mix right now
  25. SnoSki14
    Odd how spotty HRRR continues to be. Also did notice Nam is pretty quite until 6-7AM too.
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