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SnoSki14

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Everything posted by SnoSki14

  1. I was gonna say it seems a few spots hit 90-91F down south.
  2. It looks pretty expansive, I don't think it'll miss us.
  3. Very warm weather will be hard to sustain as ridge wants to park itself in the Midwest and then fold under SNE. You may get a 1-2 day heat spurt but that's about it.
  4. Yesterday was our last shot at 90F for a while. We'll see what happens 2nd week of June but I have a feeling the troughiness to our east will come in stronger as ridging builds in the Midwest.
  5. No 90F today but very muggy and warm nonetheless. Some showers firing off.
  6. At first glance there'll be tendency for ridging to focus north & west of us with lower heights around our region. The GFS is trying to form a broad ridge over the US but it's likely overdoing it. Thinking June ends up a tad BN due to more onshore flow days helped by very cool SSTs offshore & the early June cool airmass.
  7. Early ensemble suggest this may be a common theme for June at least.
  8. That might be amplified this year with a much larger area of cold SST anomalies. Anyone betting on early 90s will be disappointed.
  9. There's little need for 90s right now. It'll be plenty warm this week with upper 70s to low 80s likely, which is above normal actually.
  10. Rain now parking over my county. Rough start to the holiday weekend.
  11. Could April, May & June be BN? When's the last time that happened.
  12. Average highs are in the mid 70s. The 90s can wait till July.
  13. A chilly 45F right now. Can't believe memorial day is in a few days.
  14. Pretty cool here at only 60F, very windy as well. Crappy weather for beaches memorial day weekend.
  15. Overhead ridging will promote more easterly flow. Not a classic hot Bermuda ridge pattern.
  16. Isn't that the default forecast every summer.
  17. I think the first 90s will have to wait till June. There's a ton of easterly flow down the pipe. I'm fine with that. The 90s could hold off till July for all I care.
  18. I feel like we won't see much rain but it'll be dreary, cloudy, breezy for most of the week. 50s to low 60s
  19. GFS brings the subtropical system straight north & interacts with ULL. Looks messy. Could be gusty too with moderate coastal flooding.
  20. The potential is there. We'll see what happens. Summery day today, 85 with dews in the 60s.
  21. A lot of forecasts I've seen had near to above normal snow this year courtesy of west based Nino. Whatever the ENSO state it'll all depend on blocking as always.
  22. Last two winters were supposed to be huge for us and were duds so I think I'll take my chances. The standard analogs have less punch than they used to. Also it can't get any worse than last winter outside of zero snow I suppose.
  23. Easterly fetch would still keep us cool but far cry from what it was showing. Will see if it shifts again. PS. Looks like a bit of easterly influence today. Mid 60s here while mid 70s in western NJ.
  24. I wonder if the emerging Nina will disrupt it. I'm hoping we see a strong Nina to radically alter this stale pattern we've been in.
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