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TheClimateChanger

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  1. TheClimateChanger
    These statistics for the airport. I did notice an error in my analysis. There was a 3.3" snowfall on February 15, which was the highest daily snowfall so far in 2024. It was also the most since 8.0" fell on March 12, 2022. You are on the edge of the metro area, but have elevation (2000 feet +) so I'm not surprised you saw more snowfall. Not really representative of where the majority of people reside (generally 700' to 1300' ASL).
  2. TheClimateChanger
    3519 days since the last calendar day with 6" of snowfall, which is slightly longer than the streak indicated for Cincy (but should be slightly shorter if that one didn't stop counting on September 26). Although, it does claim you had an absolutely astounding 6,335-day drought which ended on February 3, 1948.
  3. TheClimateChanger
    I was looking up current snowfall drought figures, and for Cincinnati, why does it show an ending date of September 26, 2024? I can assure you there was not 6" of snow on September 27. Hopefully, this nonsense gets resolved.
  4. TheClimateChanger
    Big change from runs over the past couple weeks, that's for sure. I noticed we are finally starting to see a little movement on the Great Lakes, especially Lake Superior. Forecast calls for levels to continue dropping through March. Note that most precipitation in the Superior Basin is frozen in the winter, so less uncertainty moving forward. The other lakes are more uncertain. Current forecast calls for levels in March to range from 183.02 to 183.27 meters. At the low end, that would approach levels last seen in 2013. Big change from the record high levels of 2019 & 2020. Also note, there's a well-defined seasonality in lake levels, which reach their lowest typically in March or April.
  5. TheClimateChanger
    Absolutely incredible.
  6. TheClimateChanger
    Didn't realize Harrisburg had a 4" snowfall last winter. Must have been one of the few locations to do it. Wow.
  7. TheClimateChanger
    Sorry misread that. The record broke in February.
  8. TheClimateChanger
    It's been a record-breaking 1,106 days since the last 4" calendar day snow at Harrisburg.
  9. TheClimateChanger
    Will NYC break the record for longest streak without a calendar day snowfall of 4 or more inches? If it doesn't happen on or before the end of December, the streak will move into second place [still 82 days left in the year]. If it doesn't happen this winter, highly likely to break the record [unless there was a very early snowstorm in winter 2024-25].
  10. TheClimateChanger
    Will this be the year we see a 4"+ daily snowfall? Or will we break records for longest snowfall drought? It's currently been 943 days since the last 4"+ snowfall in a single calendar day. If we fail to reach that this winter, we will very likely reach a record streak.
  11. TheClimateChanger
    I know Hawaii - especially Honolulu and Kahului - had a lot of record highs in 2019. Kahului had 20 of 23 days with record highs [some have since fallen]. You'd think something like this - if it were to occur - would be in a place with very low variation, where globally warmed ocean surface temperatures could push the highs up 2-3F to record levels day after day. Places like Hawaii or Key West. You wouldn't expect it in the continental interior, where there's tons of variability. And I know it's a little less in Arizona, but still... no late season monsoonal push of moisture to disrupt the trend, no push of modified Pacific air, no cold front from the interior. And it's more impressive from a departure standpoint. In a maritime climate, those record highs might only be 5F above the normal high temperatures. Phoenix has had day after day of 15F+ departures from normals that have already risen substantially from prior decades.
  12. TheClimateChanger
    Backwards? How does that work?
  13. TheClimateChanger
    The NWS has upgraded all of southwest Pennsylvania, except for Allegheny and Beaver Counties, to a freeze warning. Definitely protect or bring in any sensitive vegetation.
  14. TheClimateChanger
  15. TheClimateChanger
    In fact, the current forecast has record high temperatures continuing through Columbus Day, which would bring the streak up to 21 consecutive record-breaking or record-tying high temperatures. Three consecutive weeks of record highs. Insane.
  16. TheClimateChanger
    The record-breaking heat wave at Phoenix has now reached 16 days. Record for today is 105F, and the current forecast for PHX airport is 106F. So decent odds we add a 17th consecutive record high today.
  17. TheClimateChanger
    Going to be unseasonably cold, but I don't know if I'd go so far as to say "frigid." Record low max temperatures for this time of the year are generally in the upper 30s to lower 40s. Doubt we see anything that cold.
  18. TheClimateChanger
    Wouldn't be a true Indian summer if it didn't come after the first frost/freeze of the autumn.
  19. TheClimateChanger
    15 consecutive record highs at Phoenix and counting.
  20. TheClimateChanger
    Also, I don't believe for a minute the temperatures reported for Burlington, Iowa in 1936. It was hot, but it's clear there was a massive warm bias at wherever the records were taken. As an apparent co-op site, it likely also suffered from a TOBs bias. Compare it to Moline. At the current sites, it averages about 1F cooler in the month of July. But in July 1936, it was more than 3F warmer. Moline Burlington
  21. TheClimateChanger
    Per ThreadEx, 63 of 365 days in 2023 saw high temperatures among the three warmest of record, and 60 of 365 days in 2023 saw low temperatures among the three warmest of record. 2024 data is not available, but it probably is even crazier.
  22. TheClimateChanger
    15 consecutive days of record heat. Unreal.
  23. TheClimateChanger
    I was surprised by all the frost this morning, given the forecast was calling for low 40s. Even saw some ice on the road. Hoping it didn't take out my tender vegetation.
  24. TheClimateChanger
    Ok, sure. @tacoman25 or whatever he used to call himself. The deceased @nzucker. Even some very respected "moderate voices" never said that. Sure, I'm making it all up.
  25. TheClimateChanger
    Looking good for some Indian summer action in the second half of October. Are we still allowed to use that terminology?
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