Spanks45
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Everything posted by Spanks45
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I think the Euro at 6z and 18z have the right idea, all models should just be run fully out to 90 hrs, ensembles out to 144 and call it a day. It seems to be a giant waste of time and money(I would assume) to run these models out to 360+ hours when they have such a low percentage of verification. I assume it is for the commodities market, not necessarily for the weather weenies....
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The GEFS at the moment, especially now on the 18z are almost repeating what happened with the "great" look in the long range...trough in the east, cold coming, but as we start inching closer day by day, that trough shifts westward and we end up with a ridge in the east...hope its wrong, but it is almost like we have seen this story before, not too long ago...
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Well we all know what solution wont happen now....lol, why cant that show up inside of 48 hours!
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when next week goes down the toilet, we can just pretend it was January....
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And somehow, non of them will be right....
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Euro looked a bit better too, not really snowy, especially around here, but different I suppose...
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That is exactly what I have experienced since moving here....My next move needs to be close by, but might have to move north west of here, at least they get more snow on average, might not be the "big" ones though
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CMC looks different around that time period too, looks to be some blocking that is forcing that storm south. GFS, not so much....
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and with this winter, add a side of EEE in March and who knows how many ticks....We need some Alaska cold
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Cooler to start, warmer right afterwards....overall a net loss, meh down here on this run
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Actually has some heavy snow here 0z on Sunday...looks colder for what it is worth
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Quite the Pig hanging out in Alaska over the next 10-15 days....hopefully we score something this weekend and/or get "lucky" otherwise it is going to get rough around here.
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4ish days out, it's the GFS with a developing coastal, I will assume that it gets the right idea Friday night....We are somewhat close to 32 degree power problems, we shall see. It is January and not March
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Still a kid when it comes to snow...hoping our 42 degree torch doesn't melt it all. It will freeze solid tonight and become almost too fast for my younger kids....
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Why can't that model find a nut from time to time....it is at least nice to see something close on all of the models
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What a torch, at this rate the snow will be gone by mid afternoon....42.1° atm
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My snow is melting already and it is January 19th....what a season
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Looks like 3.7 inches will do it....crazy temperature gradient, 24.1 degrees here, 4 miles to the south it is 32 degrees. It has been like that for almost 2 hours now....
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3.4" with the back edge near by....21.9°, never really had good snow growth, looks like temps are jumping up just to my south, hopefully we can keep the cooler air here....
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yup just came in, kids are having a blast..I always shovel them a huge pile, they pretend they are climbing Mt Washington. They don't care if there is 2 feet or 2 inches, they are happy with whatever falls! 1.4" down, 20.5°/18°
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yup, dry slot here for a bit....just measured 0.8", snow growth was much better right before it tapered off
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Moderate snow, 20.4°/17°....0.5" so far, everything covered including the roads
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very little virga, snowing lightly and the deck is coated already. 23.5°/10°
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Are any of these models affected by things such as volcanic eruptions, massive Aussie fires? Just seems like the longer range has been quite erratic recently.
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one of the models needs to have something to track, otherwise everyone would move on and do non weather type stuff....
