Spanks45

I lived in Middletown Delaware for that storm, 26ish inches that melted before Christmas...Almost felt like a waste, couldn't even get a White Christmas out of that storm....lol

Had a burst about 1.5 hrs ago, maybe another .2", couldn't tell since it was blowing around so much. Puts me over an inch...looks like there maybe a bit more shortly. Already down to 18, frigid out there.

Before and 10 minutes after...

0.9" here in Newtown

Wow! Heavy snow

nice snow squall warning here....cameras on 84 show whiteout conditions, nice!

Ice on the greenhouse is like shattering glass...

Sleet 'saved' us here, getting moderate freezing rain with some sleet mixed in right now....28.5° atm

Quarter inch of snow/sleet, light glaze of ice...temp up to 28.4° with the last round of precip which is actually more sleet than rain

My 1-2 is looking too high at the moment.... C-1" before flip?

seeing a lot of obs down in NJ with no snow, sleet to rain...not sure that helps our case down here, models are picking up on the quicker warming aloft?

No time table, but hoping within the next year or 2 and need to stay within the area...We have actually looked at a few places in/around Southbury. I should say a location with the best snow prospects and at least slightly lower taxes.

It makes house hunting fun, I need to drive around and take notes where the best snowfall retention areas are before we decide on location...I'm thinking 1-2 here with quite a bit of sleet

29.1°/23°...temps continue to drop slowly

a few miles south of exit 11 off of 84....roughly 450 ft elevation. I have just noticed since moving up here that this location switches earlier than modeled, but the surface almost always lags by a few hours on most models. I get a bit of a cold air feed from the Housatonic depending on the surface winds, you can always see it on the Weatherunderground temps.

I understand the main idea behind a SWFE, I'm talking down here along the shoreline and even most of CT...If you look at the wind directions at different levels. Any winds with a ssw component that pull from anybody of water ie. sound/ocean (water temps are upper 40s to near 50 south of Long Island) Doesn't take much to flood the upper levels with warmth, different than when they are in the 30s. The cold air drain from the N to NE only help at the surface until the circulation begins to wrap up and pull out. The meso models probably start to see the differences in a wsw, sw, or even ssw directions and how strong they are as we get closer. Which makes a difference for us down here and is probably why we are seeing the flip happen sooner, less snow....

It seems the HRRRV4 or what ever it is called has better surface temps than its parent?, just an observation from this past month....I do think the trend has been less snow and more sleet/frz rain or what ever mess comes after the snow switches....Early season SWFE have too much warm water to work with, transition happens earlier.

yikes....no generator here, at least we will stay warm

Looks great here along 84, but I feel like the snow never ends up being on the high side of forecasts/model output with this type of system, coming from this direction. It seems like there is always a transition to sleet earlier than expected, hopefully I am wrong this time...

The only model that gets us above freezing so far....I think we touch 32 on the 3k, but barely, Tuesday looking quite wintry down here. I would prefer a few inches of snow before the flip, but beggers can't be choosers I guess....

Just saw that, there has been a slight trend to have a band of 3-6 inches snow somewhere, right now central CT is in that area. I suspect that changes and shifts north. The more the first batch dampens out, the 'snowier' things have been looking around here. Definitely more of a front end snow thump...

Figures, it looked better to start things, definitely better than prior Nam runs...the icy look continues it seems

Nam looking a bit better at least early on for us on the souther end of things...definitely a snowier look to start out Tuesday morning.

I see 5's running along 84 from Danbury up to your neck of the woods...must be wrong

hopefully we can pick up at least an inch before it starts....Nothing like glaze on top of mud