Spanks45

At least my C-1 inch will be just snow, not compacted by sleet and freezing rain...

My forecasting this year has been spot on when using the model with the least amount of snow....at least with this one we still have 36 hours to go and a slight wiggle south would help with a couple of inches.

To be honest, I'm not sure what the historical numbers are for this region. I was transplanted here 5 years ago and my lowest has been 39" (2015/16). My lowest number (36 years) living in the mid atlantic region was 7.6" in 1997/98...I guess the buildup to this season + seeing everywhere else get snow + having plenty of cold air + plus a ton of precip all winter (in liquid form) when added to the futility equation ranks this one up pretty high despite the overall snow numbers not being the lowest ever. Maybe a 20+inch storm to bookend this season might help overall? sorry

Futility continues....17.4" on the season, 8.3" in November

I hope so, but with the way this season has gone you almost expect every single one of them to find a way to miss us....

I'm going to expect a T-1" here that vaporizes by Thursday afternoon, almost a March sun now. You are far enough NE of me that you should see 3 maybe 4 inches...

Seriously, what is up with the continuous snow hole here in Fairfield county? I feel like it has become the new DC snowhole! Lol

This is true, but I am pretty far SW, the Euro gives me 2-3 inches. A shift north would give me next to nothing...so we shall see

I feel like there were a few misses in that run even leading up to that last one at 200 hrs....I wonder if one of those near misses ends up getting us in the mid to short range. There is just so many moving parts that the op and ensembles may not be fully biting on yet. At least it is active and the cold air seems to be here for a bit.

Classic for this winter, everywhere but here...

GFS looks better for the Southerners....a good 8-12 hrs worth of snow on that run

Just saw the 6z Euro, the debbie in me is beginning to see this thing shift just far enough north that I end up seeing a dusting to an inch at most...Definitely not a SW CT winter this year.

Just had the highest registered gust on my Davis in 4 years....46mph, not sure what that acutally translates to, but it rattled the house

My basketball net just blew over....only the 2nd time in 5 years

Its a lot of parts that are disjointed at that time, it has something cooking at Day 9 in the midwest right after the swing and miss. Probably better not to be a bullseye at this point since we all know how that has worked out so far this year. That day 7-10 periods seems ripe for something, definitely a window for something more "substantial" than this year has produced. Also that period of time has a lot of southern stream moisture being worked into the equation...lots of cold to the north, lots of moisture to the south hopefully they can combine into something nice here and not over the plains...the southeast ridge seems to be beaten down at that time too.

Lol at this season, the EURO is cooking up something good at 198 hours, coming up the coast and right on cue @216 it has no precip over SNE as the low is moving ENE...It does snow in PA though

My thoughts exactly, although I did not live up here that year...it sucked everywhere. This has been the ultimate "get that pattern inside of 10 days" season....It never really got there, at least the snowy part. Also, I prefer ratter years to be nice and warm, at least enjoy being outside if there isn't any snow around and not have to pay to heat the house in the process....outside of November, even when it did snow it ended up a glacier, just a very thin one...

Yeah, but he also hits HRs, the FV3 not so much....not even solid line drive outs

FV3 has quite the storm setting up on March 3rd. I know, I know, just would be nice to see that kind of setup within 3 days....

Those are some bright returns, they may end up being sleet by the time it gets here...

Not only have we gotten so much of it, but it sticks around afterwards too, tomorrow it wont...also, that is a huge batch of precip racing in from the west, I am still sitting at 26.3°, that is going to be a lot of accretion unless our temps really start to rise soon.

Had a few hours of freezing drizzle, now with the heavier precip moving in it looks like rain/sleet/snow pieces....0.5" snow with a heavy glaze 26.2°/25°

finally some decent (moderate) snow with that band that developed....0.3" so far 24.1°/21°

Heavy snizzle, everything is coated now (0.1")...temperature still dropping 24.5°/21°

meh, snow growth is terrible, under a nice band for a bit here and could only manage a dusting....not expecting much, as soon as the atmosphere finally saturates I am sure temps aloft will warm enough for sleet or rain...25.8°/20°