MN Transplant
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Everything posted by MN Transplant
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12/24/24 - 0.1" 1/3/25 - 0.3" 1/6/25 - 7.7" Total 8.1", 41% of long-term seasonal
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Yeah, I only tacked on 2.5" from 7am to close yesterday on 0.33" precip. Not even the later snow helped with the ratios (and I didn't get that much from the ULL pass, certainly not 2"). Final, 7.7" on 0.84" precip. The IAD number seems strange, but there is another observer in Sterling Park that has the same 5.1". When everyone fills in the CoCoRahs reports we'll see if that looks like a bad measurement.
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2.2” since 7am for a total of 7.4” so far. Compaction means 6.7” on the ground currently.
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Fighting compaction at this point. Not sure that I’ll pass 6” otg.
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In the 12-hour period from 10am to 10pm, here are the model outputs from the mesos: RGEM: 0.2-0.35" precip NAM 3k: 0.25-0.4" HRRR (12z): 0.1"-0.2"
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5.5" as of about 10 minutes ago. I was out shoveling for the past hour and we never went to sleet in my area of the western DC beltway, but the flakes were rimed making the distinction a bit blurry.
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5.2” on 0.51 precip, for an almost perfect 10:1 ratio. Rimed flakes now.
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DP hasn’t moved a degree. 30/8. My Vikes completely crapped the bed tonight.
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Still snowing in Kansas
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1-5 in the division, with the only win on a blocked FG. Love it. Now they go to Philly as sacrificial lambs.
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If everything else is working, you can just upgrade the temperature/humidity sensor. https://www.davisinstruments.com/products/temperaturehumidity-digital-sensor-board-for-vantage-pro2?variant=39617709736097&country=US¤cy=USD&utm_medium=product_sync&utm_source=google&utm_content=sag_organic&utm_campaign=sag_organic&srsltid=AfmBOorparqXUIbseeL_GhV5N17nRIgTP_lbR-ppJqHdstP_M-IQILrfUH0&com_cvv=8fb3d522dc163aeadb66e08cd7450cbbdddc64c6cf2e8891f6d48747c6d56d2c
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Snowboard is deployed and ready to go
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DCA 5-minute ob is currently 36/1.
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I think we all have to be realistic that the super-HRRR runs with a large swath of a foot plus are a bit of a reach. If we are all sitting with a nice 6-10" will some lollis, that is a win.
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Yeah, ICON finally came back north a bit.
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Feeling good about playing against consensus.
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Looks like thundersnow near Topeka.
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And yet, it is still 0.5” precip all frozen in DC. I’ll take that as the floor.
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Not quite. The JV ICON is still south, not that we will put any weight on that.
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Now let’s see if we can coax the Ukie and RGEM north.
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We accumulate snow, lightly, at every time step until midnight thanks to the influence of the 500 low.
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Yeah, that’s the big takeaway. For the main slug of moisture, the NAM has caved for DC. Still problematic for Fredericksburg.
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This HRRR run is the realistic best case scenario. Wet and cold for most of us with the front side.
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There really is only the NAM that is in the north camp. I’m hoping we get a cave here in the next hour.
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With this GFS run, the NAM is now on an island bringing mixing into DC.
