crossbowftw3
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Everything posted by crossbowftw3
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Active mid December with multiple event potential
crossbowftw3 replied to Typhoon Tip's topic in New England
Lesser on Monday the better? count on it. -
Active mid December with multiple event potential
crossbowftw3 replied to Typhoon Tip's topic in New England
Regardless of what Kevin thinks that's likely highly implausible to happen...if at 10:1 you're asking for 3" of snow an hour for 12 hours...essentially, one band has to last for half a day. Not likely. -
Upstate/Eastern New York
crossbowftw3 replied to BuffaloWeather's topic in Upstate New York/Pennsylvania
Saving this to the portfolio ha Thoughts remain unchanged of course from earlier...30" highly unlikely but widespread 6-10+ where probably equally as numerous to widespread reports of 10"+ happen -
We are still no less than 12-18 hours from the main wave coming ashore in Pacific Canada after all
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Active mid December with multiple event potential
crossbowftw3 replied to Typhoon Tip's topic in New England
Some from just last winter even...I know there was one from February that had 20+ DC to Boston Edit: strangely very similar to what we're being shown now. hmmm. -
That's probably just the limits of TT mapping ability. On pivotal the picture is much clearer.
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Less a trend and more the GFS deciding it wanted to know the feeling of a drunk guy stumbling around the alleyways trying to keep himself entertained Edit: still concerned about what the 12z euro wanted to show us
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Active mid December with multiple event potential
crossbowftw3 replied to Typhoon Tip's topic in New England
I turned my back on them a while ago (a few years by this point.) The "covidcane" stunt was pretty preposterous; but by then I had forums like this that are a good deal better at conveying the information behind the storms than TWC ever could dream to. -
A rather concerning run nonethless. Tonight and tomorrow's runs will be very telling where this ends up. My suspicion all along is this eventually evolves into a 95 crusher and we might have just taken the first steps.
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Active mid December with multiple event potential
crossbowftw3 replied to Typhoon Tip's topic in New England
Just another one of the "names" TWC applied to winter storms (which I don't care for, really, just threw the name in there) aka January 2016 My 23rd birthday is next month; and to be honest I never liked them. I just associate the name to some bitterness from that blizzard. It happened too close to my birthday that year. -
Active mid December with multiple event potential
crossbowftw3 replied to Typhoon Tip's topic in New England
Jonas flashbacks...0z will be very telling. -
Agreed, if it keeps up by then and especially once the wave is in play then that will be the time to get nervous.* *for us north of 84, and interest picking up closer to NYC.
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Upstate/Eastern New York
crossbowftw3 replied to BuffaloWeather's topic in Upstate New York/Pennsylvania
I'm getting Jonas flashbacks. That run scared me and I hope it doesn't keep up. My continued fear is that it might just do so. -
I'm getting Jonas flashbacks. Let's hope this doesn't keep up.
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Active mid December with multiple event potential
crossbowftw3 replied to Typhoon Tip's topic in New England
Being close to those areas 20-30" absolutely isn't happening. 8-12 with pockets of 12-16 probably seem most doable at the moment. -
Active mid December with multiple event potential
crossbowftw3 replied to Typhoon Tip's topic in New England
Here in the Catskills with the CMC/GFS runs in mind I really wouldn't mind if this evolves to become the next 95 crusher. Many of you here (and in the MA/NYC forums) definitely need it after the last few years -
Upstate/Eastern New York
crossbowftw3 replied to BuffaloWeather's topic in Upstate New York/Pennsylvania
When does everyone else jump on is the question. If they do, anwyay, which I'd assume begins when the wave gets sampled. -
It was our payback for missing Jonas, ha. If this is your payback for us taking Pi day I really wouldn't mind. 95 deserves its next big storm.
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Active mid December with multiple event potential
crossbowftw3 replied to Typhoon Tip's topic in New England
As someone who got 26" in 15 hours during Pi day 2017 I can attest you absolutely don't need duration to get big totals, ha -
I've seen it happen before with Pi day 2017. It will be an absolute nightmare to keep up with clearing wise.
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Pi Day 2017 I had 26 inches fall in 15 hours >> constant ~2 inches an hour with some hours where it fell at 4-5" per hour. Have to imagine if this plays out similar results may occur.
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Upstate/Eastern New York
crossbowftw3 replied to BuffaloWeather's topic in Upstate New York/Pennsylvania
Pi Day I had 26 inches fall in 15 hours. This implies the same 2" constant hourly rates. -
Active mid December with multiple event potential
crossbowftw3 replied to Typhoon Tip's topic in New England
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Upstate/Eastern New York
crossbowftw3 replied to BuffaloWeather's topic in Upstate New York/Pennsylvania
GFS with a big time hit in the cities -
Upstate/Eastern New York
crossbowftw3 replied to BuffaloWeather's topic in Upstate New York/Pennsylvania
Right on the dotted line
