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Kmlwx

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Everything posted by Kmlwx

  1. Kmlwx
    Not that it means a ton 24 hours out, but some of the Sim reflectivity has left a little to be desired. Definitely a solid setup though. I'm a little concerned the best activity goes N of our area. @mappyville looks solid
  2. Kmlwx
  3. Kmlwx
    Large Day 3 Slight Risk from SPC for our region. Also runs south and way north into the northeast.
  4. Kmlwx
    Looking ahead - CIPS analogs still aren't really enthused with any severe potential for the next while. There does seem to be some uptick in the longer range analogs beyond 240hrs. That's way out there, though. We'll have to see if it's a snoozer of a spring severe season for the immediate DC area or if there is a rapid uptick as we get into our climo butter zone. We usually get a window from May into most of June where we can get some decent CAPE combined with still decent wind fields. Once we get to late June/July it tends to get more pulsey in nature as the shear is usually less impressive.
  5. Kmlwx
    PSA for GRAE users - version 3 is out and can be upgraded for a discount if you have v2.
  6. Kmlwx
    CIPS is relatively quiet for tomorrow - but does have May 13, 2000 and May 6, 1991 in the mix.
  7. Kmlwx
    I'm meh-ing for now.
  8. Kmlwx
    Honestly it looks even sub-meh at this point. I'm not even tracking this one anymore. It's still early in the season anyhow. We need to wait for warmer temps, higher dews.
  9. Kmlwx
    Meh
  10. Kmlwx
    Next Wed/Thur may have something. Way too far out for now.
  11. Kmlwx
    "It was a dark and stormy night"
  12. Kmlwx
    The amount of lightning/thunder is really respectable for a March 31st event. Imagine this kind of wind shear with May/June instability...
  13. Kmlwx
    Real good thunder here a few mins ago. Strike was less than 1.5 miles away based on the icon on Radarscope.
  14. Kmlwx
    It's possible that those lose their punch as they enter the air stabilized by the current Washington area activity.
  15. Kmlwx
    Looking more broad and less impressive on latest scans from both LWX and TDWRs.
  16. Kmlwx
    TOR warn for immediate metro.
  17. Kmlwx
    Area near Tysons/McLean still looks semi interesting on the TDWRs.
  18. Kmlwx
    We are in a unique area in that we get coverage from so many TDWRs. What doesn't look great on the main LWX radar can sometimes look a bit different on the more localized radars.
  19. Kmlwx
    Heck of a track for a nocturnal TOR warn.
  20. Kmlwx
    Big warning just issued for metro area.
  21. Kmlwx
    Area is now warned.
  22. Kmlwx
    Looks like the best hope for storms for the closer in DC area is going to be that activity down NW of Culpeper.
  23. Kmlwx
    As it looked like earlier - the best cells are up along a line from Harpers Ferry towards Thurmont/Taneytown - some nice looking cells with good CIMMS probs. Nothing or just junk locally.
  24. Kmlwx
    67-68 here in Colesville right now for the temp. Not much going on on radar locally.
  25. Kmlwx
    I'm still at work in Rockville/Potomac. No windows. Hoping to sneak out before 3. Sounds like things are looking not meh?
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