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Kmlwx

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Everything posted by Kmlwx

  1. LWX must have turned on a storm repellent while the radar was down. I did see a single drop of rain (but it may have been a bird pissing) when I got out of the car coming home from work. That's about what today amounted to IMBY.
  2. Link to a Tweet with a map - the map claims 50 states...but literally not a peep has been announced for anything over the DMV region. I guess if I have to haul my butt up to Gettysburg...you'd think if they were going to make a very public showing all of this event...they'd make it easier to see. Even the PA one just has a sectional map showing the flight path and a general announcement that it will be over the PA State House at noon. Not helpful.
  3. Yeah - radar looks awful for many of us. That Ellicott City cell is okay
  4. Too early to tell how it will play out - but @Eskimo Joe's call of below I-66 event is looking money if those radar trends continue (looking at TIAD and seeing most stuff focused S of 66. )
  5. TIAD is updating fine for me in Radarscope on Mac
  6. Too bad we can't have a 19, 20, and 21z sounding too.
  7. Remember, though - EJ is more of a mid-level lapse rate guy.
  8. Any rotation at range should be taken with a grain of salt - you're seeing a higher level of the storm than you would be if the radar was closer.
  9. At work in Potomac/Rockville - but PWS at home is showing 81.7 temp and 72.2 dew. At least for the moment - MBY at home is still okay on the dew side of things.
  10. It's almost like a pity meso disguised as a good one
  11. Pretty abysmal hail risk in our region now on the probs, however. Enhanced for wind still, of course. The SPC discussion is a little meh worthy honestly.
  12. I'm glad we didn't elevate this beyond Yoda level on the @WxWatcher007 scale. Does this mean we outperform SPC?!?! We'll see the final answer by later on.
  13. @high risk - definitely a wait and see kind of thing but I have noticed a really big change in the sim reflectivity maps for much of the modeling for the greater DC area. It almost looks like the better chance of storms is tomorrow on the NAM nest for some of us. Oddly enough - there was some indicating in CIPS guidance that tomorrow would be a stronger event. Would be funny if that happened. Horribly boring stretch we are in if these few days fail - other than smoke we have had barely a thing to track.
  14. If nothing else - DCAPE is starting to crank up over Central Maryland.
  15. Has anyone heard of any flyovers for the DMV region for tomorrow's Operation Centennial Contact (KC-135s etc). PA is doing one but the DC area hasn't released any plans or info. Looks like Gettysburg may be the closest pass - would be a bit of a drive to go see especially on a workday...
  16. We can still fail (I know I'm echoing what we all know already) - but the @Eskimo Joe failure mode of just no sun is not going to verify. If we fail it will be from something else.
  17. There were some peaks of sun on my drive into the office (Colesville to Rockville/Potomac).
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