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Kmlwx

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Everything posted by Kmlwx

  1. Can't wait to see the Drought Monitor map/discussion update next Thursday.
  2. CIPS has some interesting analogs in the mix. June 1, 2012 is in there
  3. Shame it's a bunch of months too late lol.
  4. Feb 7 was only a marginal day and even no watch was issued! Pretty impressive.
  5. If you want to spend the $$$ - you could also get a scanner to monitor local law enforcement/fire frequencies as well - most of them have NOAA capability with SAME as well. But those do tend to be MUCH more expensive versus a dedicated weather radio. Only useful if you're into scanning at all.
  6. Glad I mowed the lawn this morning
  7. This strike appears to have resulted in a strike to a house a street or two over. Occupant(s) out but fire in utility room involving gas line. Was hearing non-stop sirens as MCFRS responded to it.
  8. BIG lightning strike near here just now. Almost instant from the flash to the thunder. ENTLN data put it about 100-150 yards from the house maybe. Just up the street.
  9. Had there been higher dewpoints and more instability available, I think this could have been a significant severe day. Dewpoints in the mid 50s don't generally scream severe day to me. All things considered, I'd say this performed as expected.
  10. Had a good gust here - now dumping rain. Bye bye pollen (for today). Big rumble of thunder a few minutes ago as well. PWS has picked up 16 nearby lightning strikes so far today. Not too shabby.
  11. TDCA radar has some interesting velocity returns near Sterling.
  12. Uptick in lightning showing up in the ENTLN data near Pleasant Valley/LWX radar - probably an indication of increasing intensity (at least for the moment) in that part of the line. That's likely an area to watch for anything severe now.
  13. Has looked like a bookend vortex kind of feature for a while. We seemingly see these frequently with this kind of storm trajectory. That's seemingly where the highest odds for a gustnado or short lived tornado exist IMO.
  14. Actually looks decent on radar for the DC Metro area. Some lead activity has developed as well. Nasty looking bow structure coming up through VA.
  15. Instability/moisture concerns ignored - CIPS is really highlighting the 120hr period
  16. Too far out for now...but Sunday may have some potential - and does get a mention in the D4-8 outlook - but uncertainty is too high per their discussion (SPC).
  17. Has gone about as expected - main threat was south and east of the metros but the DC metro area still got some rain/storms/gusts. Also goes to show you - can't rely solely on CIPS (not that anyone was) but it showed almost NO enthusiasm for today's threat...and yet - decent number of LSRs to the south and east.
  18. Updrafts west of DC are having trouble sustaining. Meh.
  19. Heck of a narrow one - and many of us are #fringed
  20. Decent amount of guidance seems to favor exactly where SPC has the higher probs. Still, see a few models that get DC with good activity. We'll see. Definitely not the @Eskimo Joe outbreak.
  21. 78 and beautiful out there IMBY right now. Only downside is I've seen 3 massive wasps around the exterior of the house already today. Going to need to re-up my pest control application...
  22. FV3 Hi-res at range shows stuff developing Thur PM but mainly for I-95 and east.
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