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tiger_deF

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Everything posted by tiger_deF

  1. tiger_deF
    How many more hours of heavy snow are we in for in Boston?
  2. tiger_deF
    Even if the low is fairly displaced to the East, I'm really hoping we get at least some sort of capture, which would make this storm go from a monster SE snowstorm to a historic one
  3. tiger_deF
    This is shaping to either be a complete bust for the models, of a complete bust for many snowfall maps
  4. tiger_deF
    HRRR for +1 at 14z vs HRRR for +1 now at 20z
  5. tiger_deF
    How's our low pressure system down South looking?
  6. tiger_deF
    GfS looks deeper, and doesn't really trend much through 18h
  7. tiger_deF
    We should really have a nowcast thread so we can observe the development of the low and any possible signs of two lows developing
  8. tiger_deF
    West shift on the medium range HRRR
  9. tiger_deF
    If this starts trending East on the next GFS run we know why
  10. tiger_deF
    I'm curious to see if the strength of the low will be trimmed up as we head closer to go time, or if it will maintain the low 970's-960's that most of the models strengthen it to. How many sub-970 Nor'easters have we had up here?
  11. tiger_deF
    Do the actual computational models themselves work in 6 hour increments, or is that just how the data is presented? Sorry if this is a stupid question
  12. tiger_deF
    These hours after the GFS and before the ECMWF are truly the dark times
  13. tiger_deF
    From someone still relatively new to meteorology, what about this is so impressive?
  14. tiger_deF
    There was far more consensus on Monday than there is today...
  15. tiger_deF
    Are we writing off a tuck/capture or is it still a possibility?
  16. tiger_deF
    Now watch the Euro do something completely unexpected at the 11th hour and ruin the consensus again
  17. tiger_deF
    On one hand I can see the dual lows robbing eachother of energy and intensity, but I can also see a scenario where they significantly prolong the snowfall
  18. tiger_deF
    My mind is telling me no but my body is telling me yes
  19. tiger_deF
    All the models have massive differences in where they first generate that low off the coast of Fl/Carolinas, until we know just where that low generates there is going to be a degree of uncertainty.
  20. tiger_deF
    I have a feeling we still have lots of suprises left, whether good or bad we'll find out
  21. tiger_deF
    We've been really unlucky this year with last minute modeling shifts and storms escaping away to the East. I really think that deep down some people think this one is going to continue to follow the same pattern
  22. tiger_deF
    He'll definitely have much more fun
  23. tiger_deF
    Amazing how bad the GFS and ensembles look compared to the rest of the models. If I had to infer the state of all the models just off it's recent runs, I'd think it was a total whiff and the board was melting down
  24. tiger_deF
    It was inevitable that the minute a weenie here canceled a flight back to stormchase, things would trend more positive
  25. tiger_deF
    If the 0z models are as bad or worse than the 18z and 12z I'm seriously going to lose my shit. It's my fault for getting so invested, but I've convinced half the block we're in for a big one
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