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tiger_deF

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Everything posted by tiger_deF

  1. Looks to be trying to form a primative eyewall. Still not quite there, but whether it can hold off from shear and complete itself over the next 36 hours is crucial to it's eventual track.
  2. Henri looks to be trying to close off an eye. Still not quite there, but certainly indicative of a low end hurricane.
  3. The short-term strength of Henri will be crucial to the eventual track; will he continue to steadily intensify, or briefly weaken due to shear?
  4. I wouldn't be suprised if Henri is closing in on 995 mb right now
  5. I doubt we will have a clear idea of what Henri is going to do until we start getting regular recon data fed into the models, which should be the case by Friday
  6. HMON appears to split Henri into two competing systems, latching onto the southern lobe. Toss-worthy?
  7. Smart money is on OTS, but this is the strongest, closest signal I have seen for potential TC impacts since Isaias, and the trends have been very consistently West since a few days ago
  8. And we track... increasingly excited but I can't help but feel I will wake up tomorrow and it will appear to be headed definitively out to sea.
  9. Power outages are spiking in NNE Wisconsin
  10. Most large-scale volcanic eruptions result in so much detritus getting ejected into the air that it produces a notable decline in the average temperature due to increasing the amount of sunlight reflected. It's hypothesized that several major historical famines coincided with frosts and cold snaps from such events.
  11. Elsa is looking fierce and her appearance is improving as she crawls up the South
  12. I'd bet our chances for something tropical this season are likely tied with this storm, like Isaias around a similar time last season. Not discounting a peak season threat, but it has been a looong time
  13. I hope that the models are picking up on some kind of baroclinic transition, as I can see those winds being probable in a transitioning hybrid system, certainly not anything fully tropical.
  14. Southern part of the line is beefing up pretty quickly
  15. Seems to be outperforming last week's outbreak despite having far less hype
  16. So far is this busting above, below, or right around what was forecast? I have a great deal of family in GA anxiously watching these developments and any insight would be very helpful
  17. Looking ugly near Selma, hopefully they have warnings up
  18. Based on live weather reports there are currently two tornadoes on the ground, one in clark county and one crossing highway 84. Pretty impressive debris signature on radar considering the timeframe EDIT- Crossed highway 84, is now in Wayne county
  19. No snow so far in Nahant but the wind is going nuts, pushing white caps out in the open ocean of 2 feet plus easy
  20. As someone still fairly new to weather how come this event and its setup is considered more unusual?
  21. Radar is looking absolutely beefy right now. The southern coastal component is ramping up quickly and it is big time snow in Virginia and starting to crank up in Pennsylvania. All a question of if it can sustain and build upon the structure later today.
  22. Here in the Boston area we have been so starved for a snow event... it has literally been years since the last decent snowstorm, far too much rain and ice versus feet of drifts of snow, just like my childhood. A small part of me is still worried about a bust but this could be real nice for a large area of SE NE
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