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tiger_deF

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Everything posted by tiger_deF

  1. tiger_deF
    Is it just me or is Zeta clearing out an eye over land?
  2. tiger_deF
    Someone needs to remind Zeta that it isn't in the GoM anymore and can begin disintegrating instead of firing deep convection
  3. tiger_deF
    I think this may take lots of folks in New Orleans by suprise unfortunately
  4. tiger_deF
    NHC upgraded to 973 mb and 105 mph
  5. tiger_deF
    119 kt FL winds in the SE!!
  6. tiger_deF
    Lots of lightning in the eyewall, still think we could push a low end Cat 3 if the baroclinic forcing and trough interactions line up just right
  7. tiger_deF
    Recon will be enlightening, sure looks like Zeta is still strengthening
  8. tiger_deF
    Looking at this right now I find it hard to believe Zeta isn't near or at Cat 2 status. Unbelievable presentation considering what it looked like just 6 hours ago
  9. tiger_deF
    2.5 hours apart
  10. tiger_deF
    Within the span of a few hours Zeta has materialized 3/4 of an eyewall, once it closes it off I expect fairly steady to quick strengthening. This is a huge system, and once it fully develops I expect it will be larger than both Delta and Laura
  11. tiger_deF
    Zeta looks to be strengthening right now, I am seeing signs of northerly banding from the main convective mass, the convection continues to cool over the center of the MLC, and overall banding features have developed considerably over the past hour (with the potential start of a curved band developing to the left)
  12. tiger_deF
    That makes it even more impressive, what a freak of nature. Usually ULL's are the destroyer of cyclones; this one has provided the perfect pocket for a major
  13. tiger_deF
    Ugh this setup has the potential to produce such a powerful hybrid storm, so of course it will miss us 500 miles to the east
  14. tiger_deF
    Unflagged 119kt FL winds in NE quadrant. I'd say 95kt would be a good estimate, maybe 100
  15. tiger_deF
    Like fully cleared the eye
  16. tiger_deF
    And just like that, the eye is clear
  17. tiger_deF
    You guys may have jinxed it, Delta's eastern eyewall is the best I've seen it recently
  18. tiger_deF
    Recon is picking up hurricane level FL winds nearly a full 2 degrees away from the center
  19. tiger_deF
    Eye is torching right now, I think it could clear in the next hour
  20. tiger_deF
  21. tiger_deF
    Frankly I think that's because hurricanes are pretty complex, and for someone who isn't a weather tracker the nuances of certain aspects of hurricanes are a little much to expect someone to know, especially with the compounding crises already at play this year. The NHC has been doing a good job of distilling the main threats though
  22. tiger_deF
    Laura didn't necessarily bust surgewise, but I think that Delta's surge could be significantly higher and over a pretty broad swath of the gulf if the HWRF is to be believed
  23. tiger_deF
    Raw ADT of 7.3
  24. tiger_deF
    Boston is getting hammered right now
  25. tiger_deF
    In Boston right now and the sky hasn't looked this dark in a long time
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