our storm in hour 9 of the NAM seems to have phasing issues? I'm not sure, the whole transition is bizzare and doesn't really represent what's going on on satellite, not as organized
Just in the first frame of the NAM you can already see that it's placed the feature inside of Tennessee as the dominant low for now, where before it had the low right off the coast
That's true, considering it gets below 990 and has a decent vorticity it's pretty surprising just how low the snow totals are. I guess it isn't factoring banding, which could easily add numerous inches to totals.