Steve25

I know you guys are going to hate me, but I'm actually rooting for the cold rain in Baltimore City tonight. I have plans that I really don't want to get cancelled. Snow/ice would seriously screw it up, rain would be okay. All in on the Sunday potential lol.

My measurements always the same as the people in this forum that are located near me and the official reports on the NWS site, so I must just be a lucky guesser then...with every storm...

Oh yeah, I'm all about that. I usually take a few grass measurements and then measure on flat, cold surfaces such as the things you mentioned and take the average.

I find it seriously hard to believe all the people that have said they got 2+ inches from this system measured it on pavement. Temps were marginal and pavement was warm.

Are you saying that's not what pretty much everyone in this forum does?

I had plans for tonight, which are still fine in the rain and all the modeling up until today has been pretty solid showing just rain in Baltimore, but now I see the short term models are getting the frozen stuff back closer. How likely do you guys think it is Baltimore will get in on snow/ice tonight?

Woke up to see the pavement barely coated or just wet and assumed bust, but I measured 2 inches in the grass. I always feel weird saying I had a few inches when the pavement barely had impact, but it is what it is lol.

NAM has been pretty darn consistent showing 1-4 inches around the area. Would be nice to wake up to Friday morning.

So basically the NAM is consistently showing a 2-5 inch event for Central Maryland while pretty much every other model is less than 2 inches?

Seems to me that this is change somewhat substantially with each new set of models. I have so little faith in any of the models that I'm almost to the point where I just wait for storms to be in NAM range and then just follow that lol.

The end is near

IAD: 5.5 DCA: 3.3 BWI: 4.5 RIC: 1.9 MBY: 5.0

I HATE the warm seasons with a burning passion. Hate the flowers, overgrown everything, bugs, pollen, sunburns, sweating just from going outside. There is literally nothing I look forward to. I like the beach in warm weather, but I don't need our summers to have that. I could go to a Florida beach for vacation during the winter if I wanted to experience it. Basically, you could wipe out our Spring and Summer and I wouldn't lose one ounce of sleep over it. Don't get me wrong, I love a nice 55 degree sunny day! I just wish that was our max in the warm seasons. That would be beautiful! Does anyone know a place where Summer temps top out between 55-65 degrees on average?

Yeah in all honesty I'm probably reaching because I want a snowy March. I stick by my guns on one thing though, it's been 58 years since the last March with 20+ inches of snow at BWI, so it's going to happen again eventually! I'll say this every year until it happens LOL

Been doing some research. Saw that BWI has had 19 months of March with double digit snow since 1884. Of those 19 times, 14 of them came in winters that were below climo heading into March. Is there a meteorology explanation for why the majority of our big March snowstorms have come in otherwise lackluster winters, or is it just coincidence?

Hmm. As much as I enjoy every snow we get, I'm in the go big or bust vs just a small snow. We've had plenty of small snows this winter. I need one that'll break my back from shoveling. I couldn't care less if it melts in a few days, it's the thrill of the ride!

Do you guys believe the mid-week situation will impact the weekend potential? GFS has pretty consistently been showing a weak system pass by around Wednesday which allows warmer air to filter in and then the weekend storm cuts west. Euro seems to keep the entire week chilly which allows for a more wintry scenario later on. Am I misinterpreting what the models are showing?

One of these years BWI is going to break this 58 year drought of no 20+ inch March's. FV3 says this is the year lol.

I have a fun fact. BWI has recorded 20+ inches of snow in March 4 times in the past 135 years. All 4 times BWI was below climo for the season heading into March. Last time was in March of 1960. Some may look at that and say it's super rare, I look at it and say we're DUE lol. In all seriousness, I enjoyed this storm and it got me to 15.5 inches for the season. So one more moderate snow or a couple small ones and I'll get to climo.

Let's give a huge round of applause to the high pressure that allowed us to stay cold enough to get some snow out of a low track that had no business giving us snow. You the real MVP!

Snowed here from 8:30-12:30. Got 3.5 inches. That's pretty good for a day time snow. Changeover here just in time like the forecast showed. No dissapointment here. Got what I expected. Anyone that didn't get what was predicted, bust or boom?

Flizzard has started

In all seriousness though, what is the reason for no snow yet in Baltimore? Is it the dry air winning?

Welp, into hour number 2 of expected snow with not one flake lol

Here in Parkville I'm walking my dog and one of my neighbors was on their porch and said "Wasn't this supposed to start at 7?!" More than just the weenies are getting restless lol