Steve25

Yeah, I think our best shot around here is a brief period of steady snow, but with very little accumulation. MAYBE up to an inch on grass and cold surfaces, but I'm thinking more like half an inch and wet roads. That's been my call for a few days now. Feel pretty confident now. North and west areas will certainly do much better, so I understand why those folks are really into it!

I'm an amateur so forgive me, but am I really to expect accumulation in Baltimore with temps in the 40s, warm pavement already, and the system only lasting a few hours?

Ahh the good old temperatures rising instead of dropping the night before an "event."

It all depends on the temperatures for me. I love the snow as much as the next guy, but I also love the cold. I love huge snowstorms so my first inclination is to say the one 20" storm, but if it's mild the rest of the month, that wouldn't be worth it. I feel like 4 5" events would guarantee more cold air.

How about the fact that it's looking increasingly likely that the Ravens will get a NIGHT in the 60s for their game, in January! It's also looking dry. What a treat for fans who are going out to that game! Lord almighty!

Models looking better for the Ravens Saturday night. What was once looking like an absolute downpour, is now looking more like a dry slot. Hopefully that trend continues

I'm expecting nothing more than possibly getting to watch a little light wet snow fall. That's it. We've gotta take what we can get lol.

I try to see the bright side. I LOATHE Spring and Summer. So although I'm super bummed with no cold and snow, I'm still very pleased it's still Winter and not those other seasons. Also stats guys, anyone know how many winters we've been essentially shut out going into February and still wound up with solid numbers?

That's the way I've always done it though, specifically when were caught in a frustrating pattern. I don't see the point in ever looking beyond 7 days. I can't count the times over the years things have either looked terrible or great in the 10-15 day range, and then ends up being completely wrong. I refuse to get bummed or excited over 10+ day outlooks. It's a waste of time, for me. I respect the guys who do deep dives into the long range patterns and signals. The ones who do it well are more intelligent than I'll ever be. With that said, I can't deal with seeing them say the signals look good in the long range, and then a couple days later say nevermind. It can be such a crap shoot at that range. If you want to get bummed about the long range, I feel for you. I'll continue to just focus on the forecast range I can have actual confidence in, which is also a bummer at the moment lol.

I've decided to take the approach of only checking the models 7 day outlook and if there's no signs of anything decent, I don't look again for 3 days. It's way too stressful to look every set of models and see the same disappointment. At least waiting 3 days gives a little break.

Anyone have content from that epic week in 2010? I could use it right about now lol

Honestly, I'm just a winter lover to the max. Sure, I LOVE snow as much as any of us. I also love when it's downright cold. Those stretches where it's below freezing for like 7-10 days consecutively are amazing. Love watching bodies of water freeze over. I look forward to the 10 degree nights when I can walk my dog and just experience that bitter fresh cold air. It always makes me laugh when people try to tell me that no one actually loves winter, they just love snow because it gets them off work/school. I can't relate to that statement at all.

Just saw that it's 60 degrees in Chicago...so at least we can take solace in the fact that it's not just us...no? Okay lol

Sounds similar to the CMC

Props to you for sticking with them though. For whatever reason fans of bad teams always get mocked and picked on and that logic has never sat well with me. These fans who root for great teams and act like that makes them "better" than other fans. I always look forward to when teams that have been great go into a stretch of rough years to see which fans stick around and which jump ship.

Awesome information! Now I'm dying to go back and see radar from some of those events but I can't seem to find any ways to get that. I have a source that I can see the precipitation, but it doesn't show precipitation type or temperatures. I swear Wunderground used to provide that, but they don't seem to anymore.

Thanks! I just have an awful memory.

Does anyone recall a time when a situation like next Tuesday/Wednesday actually worked out to provide accumulating snow? I'm sure it's happened, just can't think of any specific events.

Thank you very much!

Random question for you guys. Do you know of a site where I can find radar loops from any point in the past? I know on Wunderground they used to allow you to search the past on radar but I can't seem to be able to do it anymore.

I once saw them up forecasted snow totals from 6 inches to 24 inches in 8 hours, and then we wound up getting nothing due to marginal temperatures lol. I don't think they will ever have a bigger forecast bust than that.

Credit to some of those models that get mocked like the CMC and NAM that I feel did a pretty nice job with this storm!

To be honest, as frustrating as it is to compare our 4-6 inches to the 8+ inches others are getting, I still would never call this storm a dissapointnent! For the majority of the week we were saying 1-3 inches was the best bet. Most of us made out better than that and had enough snow to shovel and go out and enjoy.

That's true, the desire to have what's so close to us is frustrating, but putting it in perspective, this was still a success for us and hopefully the start of a very fun pattern.

That might just be the most frustrating thing ever. You look at radar and see great rates right over you and then you look out the window to see flurries.