Steve25

Sounds like my people!

If I could find a climate that's like yesterday during the summer and like an ice age during the winter, I'd be in heaven. I see people are getting hyped up about this weekend in the other thread. My heart won't let me jump in.

Why when the long range shows a bunch of snow we don't believe it, but when it shows a bunch of rain we immediately give up and accept it as gospel? Nevermind, I know why, it's because the long range is never right when we want it to be LOL

This is me just being a bright side guy, but the one thing I enjoy about dud winters is that I know we will make up for it at some point with a big winter. It's just the way things work around here. Some of our worst winters have come directly ahead of or behind some of our most historic winters. To be honest, sometimes I feel like we're still making up for the 2009/2010 LOL

It's not scientific at all, but I believe in the system this week just because of how warm it'll be Monday and Tuesday. Love it when people say, "It's 60 degrees today, there's no way were getting snow/ice!" Then it happens.

Thanks for the info. I found 22 winters at BWI specifically that were similar snow total wise to this winter heading into February, and 11 of them finished as dud winters(single digit totals for the winter). Interestingly, the majority of those 11 either followed long stretches of well above average snowfall winters, or were directly following/followed by a HUGE, historic winter. Fitting my belief that although our winters are hard to predict, we do follow general patterns over the years. What goes up must come down, and vice versa.

I'd love to do some research on winters where we went well into February with a shutout(or close to it) and then still finished around or above average for the winter. I don't think I have the proper tools to do that though. Any years come to mind?

Next week looks like a headache. Really warm to start is looking like a pretty strong bet. Then there's a system(or some combination of systems) that cuts along the cold boundary, well to our west. Then at least some of that cold air gets in here by later in the week but how much and whether there will be storms/tracks that cooperate are a huge bleh.

I personally am not troubled by the warm start to next week. Living here, I could list so many times substantial snows followed very warm days. I know because I've had to explain to the people in my life way too much about how it can be warm today, and still snow tomorrow. "Yeah right, it's going to snow tomorrow? Pssh it's 60 degrees. There's no way!"

I did a little monthly snow research because I was bored. I went back to 1919-20 and broke it down into 10 year segments. I took monthly snow totals from Dec-Mar of every winter and averaged the data out over each 10 year span. This is for BWI. The best stretch was easily 1959-60 to 1968-69. They averaged 7.68" per month. The next highest? 2009-10 to 2018-19 with 5.97" per month. They had 4 months with 20+ inches. We had 3 months with 20"+ in this 10 year stretch. The worst period was, not ironically, right before the best. 1949-50 to 1958-59 averaged 3.36" per month, and had NO months over 20". All the other periods are right around 5" per month on average. Of the 400 winter months since 1919, 333 of them have been under 10 inches. 51 have had 10-19 inches. Only 16 have totaled 20 inches or more. The fact of the matter is that we get a huge portion of our total snow from major storms, but those major storms are far and few between. So were going to be left with A LOT of low times like many of us have been in since 2016. I know no one needed this, but I felt like it and it's the banter thread so...lets banter.

Thank you guys very much!

If I may ask, where did you gather all this storm info from? I always struggle to find specific data like this.

Happy 4 year anniversary to the last major snowstorm! According to my image gallery. A reminder that I haven't had a storm with 10+ inches of snow going on 4 years. I think in my last research, I came to the conclusion that we get 1 significant snow every 4-5 years. So, if it doesn't happen in the remainder of this winter, I'm pushing all my chips in on next winter lol.

Nevermind. I was looking on a site that doesn't show precip type. It had the 540 line and 0 line southeast of us during the precip, figured that result in snow. I guess not.

Am I seeing it wrong or is the 6z GFS actually a good look for this Saturday?

I actually love my car for that reason. It holds heat incredibly. It's like a green house lol. It's horrible in the Summer, but during the winter, I've had days it's struggling to get to 20 degrees, but as long as the sun is on my car, it'll be comfortable inside.

I hate the sun in winter. It was sub-freezing today but my yard turned into a muddy mess anyway. By my logic, if it's below freezing, nothing should be melting lol

Decent icing on all cold surfaces just north of Baltimore City. Now I look forward to a couple sub-freezing days next week. I actually haven't looked beyond Wednesday in a few days on the models. It was starting to look bleak so I took a vacation from the models.

TWC is on board LOL

Are we getting that late feb west track snowstorm we had a few years ago. That was nuts lol I need to be reminded of which storm that was. I have vague memories of it

You LOVE to see it!

I could've sworn the way the question was worded was "What was Popeye's favorite food?" It made for a hilarious moment though! I love everything about her confident reaction and then looking back at her family who is disgusted

Haha honestly, I heard "Popeyes" when he asked the question, and I immediately thought of chicken because of the food chain. I don't think it's that ridiculous of an answer, especially when you're in a situation where you have to respond so quick.

Ruin? The Euro may not be what everyone wanted it to be, but it doesn't ruin anything. Still keeps things very cold. The precip amounts are more of the issue due to the main slug being north. Definitely not a reason to get all down and out though.

Temps start out in the low 20s verbatim for that storm. Good signs. Very intriguing!