Steve25

Random question for you guys. Do you know of a site where I can find radar loops from any point in the past? I know on Wunderground they used to allow you to search the past on radar but I can't seem to be able to do it anymore.

It's funny. We push for advancements so we can have a better idea of what's coming, but it takes away the element of surprise, at least major surprises, which can be fun in their own right. Obviously it's better for society as a whole because it's better to be as prepared as you can be for potentially dangerous conditions. I guess the bright side for people like us is that no matter how advanced forecasting becomes, weather will always have it's surprises. I do agree though that the days of predicting nothing and then getting hammered with a big storm are well behind us.

I once saw them up forecasted snow totals from 6 inches to 24 inches in 8 hours, and then we wound up getting nothing due to marginal temperatures lol. I don't think they will ever have a bigger forecast bust than that.

Wondering if the sun will make an appearance after this light rain moves through the Baltimore area.

Well, historically, my area has only had 3 periods where we went more than 3 full winters without a 10+ inch snow month. 1948/49-1952/53, 1967/68-1970/71, and 1972/73-1976/77. That's over 136 years of record keeping. So I'd say odds are in favor of at least one decent month for snow this winter.

There's nothing scientific about this, but my area hasn't had a major snowstorm since January of 2016, I'd say I'm due. Had 30 inches of snow in January of 2016. My highest month since than was 7.8 inches in January of 2019. That's a long time without a double digit snow month.

I don't like that the best case scenario model has the entire snow falling with temperatures above freezing. Verbatim the GFS shows 5-8 inches in Central Maryland but you have to think with those temps it would be way less.

I have a fun fact. BWI has recorded 20+ inches of snow in March 4 times in the past 135 years. All 4 times BWI was below climo for the season heading into March. Last time was in March of 1960. Some may look at that and say it's super rare, I look at it and say we're DUE lol. In all seriousness, I enjoyed this storm and it got me to 15.5 inches for the season. So one more moderate snow or a couple small ones and I'll get to climo.

Let's give a huge round of applause to the high pressure that allowed us to stay cold enough to get some snow out of a low track that had no business giving us snow. You the real MVP!

Snowed here from 8:30-12:30. Got 3.5 inches. That's pretty good for a day time snow. Changeover here just in time like the forecast showed. No dissapointment here. Got what I expected. Anyone that didn't get what was predicted, bust or boom?

Flizzard has started

In all seriousness though, what is the reason for no snow yet in Baltimore? Is it the dry air winning?

Welp, into hour number 2 of expected snow with not one flake lol

Here in Parkville I'm walking my dog and one of my neighbors was on their porch and said "Wasn't this supposed to start at 7?!" More than just the weenies are getting restless lol

Parkville same. Nada. Really was sure this would start by 7. Pretty much an hour of expected snow is now out of the picture. Downing my expectations to 2 inches

I'm out on a walk, what's killing this thing in Baltimore, the dry air?

I don't know if any of you have Snapchat, but their map on there is pretty cool for events like this. You can click on any area to see videos people are posting, and you know people love to post snow. One way to track the onset and heavy bands.

Well storms typically do move in from West to East or South to North so if comparing to folks in Virginia, DC, WV...yes, Baltimore would be the later to fill in lol

The start time over here has ALWAYS been projected to be 7-8 AM. That was consistent on the modeling for a week.

Pardon my ignorance, but whats the difference between -SN and SN?

Well I'll set my alarm for 5 AM here in Baltimore to get out ahead of it! Hopefully it'll be banging on my door!

Is it my imagination or is the radar substantially ahead and healthier looking than lets say the HRRR?

Credit to some of those models that get mocked like the CMC and NAM that I feel did a pretty nice job with this storm!

To be honest, as frustrating as it is to compare our 4-6 inches to the 8+ inches others are getting, I still would never call this storm a dissapointnent! For the majority of the week we were saying 1-3 inches was the best bet. Most of us made out better than that and had enough snow to shovel and go out and enjoy.

That's true, the desire to have what's so close to us is frustrating, but putting it in perspective, this was still a success for us and hopefully the start of a very fun pattern.