Steve25

If the pattern does wind up being much better around the 20th, will you be the type to admit you were wrong? Pretend like you never said anything and enjoy it? Or just disappear? You may be right, and if the pattern still sucks through the end of the month I'm sure you'll be the one to say those guys were wrong and grasping at straws. That's fine, as long as you own it when you're wrong.

Someone hasn't been paying much attention to this forum outside of the past 2 hours...

It's a smart strategy. I just don't have the self-control

I know it will, but so far this winter most of the time I've looked at the models beyond 7 days, there hasn't been much in the way of cold at all, and let's be honest, that has been an accurate depiction for this winter so far. So yeah, it's nice to finally see some substantial cold, even if in the long range. Hasn't been one of those winters where the models are constantly showing cold 10 days away and it never pans out, at least from my vantage point. Guys in that forum have been saying for a little while now that signals become more favorable around the 20th and beyond, so to see the models zoning in on that is encouraging. You are right though, gotta temper expectations. Just saying it's nice to see, that's all.

Thank you for the reality check. Still happy to see it trending in a colder direction. Love sub-freezing stretches.

I'm personally very much enjoying the GFS keeping the 20th and beyond pretty much completely sub-freezing. Hope it's on to something!

Only one day gets above freezing from the 20th to the 25th on the GFS, and even that is barely above freezing. Good stuff!

Good news on Ingram. I honestly like our chances with or without him. I just want him to be back at full strength before he plays. Obviously the team is better with him out there though!

Are you being sarcastic? lol

That's pretty crazy. Were they night games? I think the fact that this is a pure night game, and is still going to be in the 60s makes it even more crazy! I personally think these conditions are shaping up nicely for Lamar. 60s and I don't think the winds will be all that bad. Maybe just slightly strong breezes.

Getting way too ahead of myself, but I'm also keeping in the back of my mind that if the Ravens win this week, they will be playing in Baltimore at 3 PM on Sunday the 19th, so being that were looking at some potential around that time, I'm extra glued to what might happen

Some big time cold behind the snow/ice/rain storm on the GFS. Stuck in the 20's for a few days!

I may stand in the minority, but I very much enjoy the cold as much as the snow, so if these are signals we're headed for much colder stretches, I'm here for it!

Wish I had the memory to remember what January/February of 2014 and 2015 were like. I gotta start writing things down so I have something to look back to when I forget! Last really cold stretch I remember I think was the very beginning of January 2018? I remember it being sub-freezing for like 10 consecutive days. All the water bodies near my area were frozen over. It was awesome!

I was wondering same thing!

In all seriousness EJ, if you're of the mindset that it's not worth discussing until it's 5 days out, you really should take Bob's advice and take a break until next week at least. I've done it, and it does help clear my head and then when I come back, there's fun stuff to discuss in a much closer range. We know there won't be anything wintry in the next 5 days, so maybe this is the perfect time. Also to the rest of you, thanks for driving into the long range with these intelligent breakdowns. I don't have the knowledge of you guys, but I pick up bits and pieces of information.

It all depends on the temperatures for me. I love the snow as much as the next guy, but I also love the cold. I love huge snowstorms so my first inclination is to say the one 20" storm, but if it's mild the rest of the month, that wouldn't be worth it. I feel like 4 5" events would guarantee more cold air.

How about the fact that it's looking increasingly likely that the Ravens will get a NIGHT in the 60s for their game, in January! It's also looking dry. What a treat for fans who are going out to that game! Lord almighty!

Models looking better for the Ravens Saturday night. What was once looking like an absolute downpour, is now looking more like a dry slot. Hopefully that trend continues

I try to see the bright side. I LOATHE Spring and Summer. So although I'm super bummed with no cold and snow, I'm still very pleased it's still Winter and not those other seasons. Also stats guys, anyone know how many winters we've been essentially shut out going into February and still wound up with solid numbers?

Anyone have content from that epic week in 2010? I could use it right about now lol

Credit to some of those models that get mocked like the CMC and NAM that I feel did a pretty nice job with this storm!

To be honest, as frustrating as it is to compare our 4-6 inches to the 8+ inches others are getting, I still would never call this storm a dissapointnent! For the majority of the week we were saying 1-3 inches was the best bet. Most of us made out better than that and had enough snow to shovel and go out and enjoy.

That's true, the desire to have what's so close to us is frustrating, but putting it in perspective, this was still a success for us and hopefully the start of a very fun pattern.

That might just be the most frustrating thing ever. You look at radar and see great rates right over you and then you look out the window to see flurries.