I know it will, but so far this winter most of the time I've looked at the models beyond 7 days, there hasn't been much in the way of cold at all, and let's be honest, that has been an accurate depiction for this winter so far. So yeah, it's nice to finally see some substantial cold, even if in the long range. Hasn't been one of those winters where the models are constantly showing cold 10 days away and it never pans out, at least from my vantage point. Guys in that forum have been saying for a little while now that signals become more favorable around the 20th and beyond, so to see the models zoning in on that is encouraging. You are right though, gotta temper expectations. Just saying it's nice to see, that's all.