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cptcatz

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  1. cptcatz
    First launch is scheduled for tomorrow at noon. Hopefully it's a successful launch! https://spaceflightnow.com/2022/06/10/astra-poised-to-begin-three-launch-campaign-with-nasa-hurricane-research-satellites/
  2. cptcatz
    GFS had really been consistent showing a storm moving north out of the Caribbean this time next week. Talking about 7 days from now, it's not really long range fantasy. If this doesn't verify something really needs to be done with the GFS.
  3. cptcatz
    Who is DT?
  4. cptcatz
    Models are being pretty consistent with another gulf storm in about 1-2 weeks
  5. cptcatz
    Just picked up my first sub-1,000 pressure reading
  6. cptcatz
    Rain since midnight now at 8.21 inches. Total for storm is 10.35 inches. Pressure now down to 1,001.32 mb. Highest rain and lowest pressure I've seen here since I moved the week after Irma hit (September 2017).
  7. cptcatz
    We've been getting really impressive torrential rain for the past hour. Now up to 6.52" for today and continuing to rise fast, which means nearly 2 inches in the last 1.5 hour. Pressure down to 1,001.07 mb.
  8. cptcatz
    From my backyard Ambient station in Boca Raton: Yesterday: 2.14" As of 8:26am today: 4.71" Current pressure: 1,003.12 hPa Radar looks like there's still another couple inches to come.
  9. cptcatz
    Looks like it's not going to even be designated a cyclone before hitting Florida.
  10. cptcatz
    Almost looks like there's a new area of rotation forming due west of Key West
  11. cptcatz
    I wouldn't let your guard down when some of the squalls closer to the center come through. We could get some nice gusts.
  12. cptcatz
    And there it is
  13. cptcatz
    Gotta think we'll get a PTC, TD, or TS at 5pm along with warnings/watches as impacts in South Florida will likely be starting within 24 hours of then.
  14. cptcatz
    Based on the current trends, I-4 from Tampa to Jacksonville seems to be the cutoff of the impacts. You'd probably miss the bad stuff.
  15. cptcatz
    12z GFS coming in hot with a legit tropical storm hitting Florida and visible satellite is showing some nice spinnage. Maybe time to make a new 91L thread?
  16. cptcatz
    It'll be interesting to see how far east this gets before making landfall and if it can bypass the part of Southern Oaxaca that sticks out. If it gets east of that, it could cross the Isthmus of Tehuantepec which is only 124 miles wide with a max elevation under 1,000 feet. That could be a big factor in how disrupted it gets before moving into the Gulf of Mexico. 12z Icon has it getting pretty close, although it still dissipates it.
  17. cptcatz
    Overnight euro has a strong TS/cat1 heading right to Tampa...
  18. cptcatz
    The big three are all in agreement of a sub-1000 storm passing near/over the Florida peninsula. Probably looking like something like Eta's impacts for us here.
  19. cptcatz
    24/13/6 got a feeling about this season
  20. cptcatz
    First time this season the bearish Euro has shown a solid TC in the Atlantic. Seems like over the past few years the Euro showing a TC is not something to brush off...
  21. cptcatz
    Next area to watch? GFS thinks this strong MJO is gonna spawn a hurricane
  22. cptcatz
    I have no idea if this is significant but that's an impressive looking area of convection over the southern Caribbean...
  23. cptcatz
    Aaaaaand GFS has thrown in the towel. That was fun while it lasted...
  24. cptcatz
    06z GFS is one of the worst model runs I've seen for southeast Florida in a long time. The 985 mb eye dead center over West Palm Beach.
  25. cptcatz
    18z GFS is sticking with a strong TS/weak cane near the Yucatan but backed off blowing it up in the Gulf. This what you're looking for in Tampa?
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