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cptcatz

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Everything posted by cptcatz

  1. cptcatz
    Can't see an eye like that forming in a not-even-hurricane.
  2. cptcatz
    Finally about to get the first real eye of the Atlantic season
  3. cptcatz
    Oof that HMON run brings worst case scenario surge into NY harbor...
  4. cptcatz
    With the rate of inflation and prices of materials, a couple collapsed decks makes for a billion dollar disaster.
  5. cptcatz
    Lots of 18z euro ensembles now show a NYC metro strike. Now that would be something
  6. cptcatz
    TropicalTidbits
  7. cptcatz
    Is that an eye I see right next to the new hot tower popping up?
  8. cptcatz
    Not even a fantasy cane going into September on the GFS? Pretty weak first half of the season.
  9. cptcatz
    68 knots FL winds, I'm pretty surprised NHC isn't putting out a special statement with at least a hurricane watch. With landfall hours away, seems like it's a good time now to warn the coast of possible hurricane conditions.
  10. cptcatz
    Have we had a storm this season where the NHC didn't highlight the uncertainty of the forecast?
  11. cptcatz
    Interesting geography note: if Fred goes due north it would hit the piece of land jutting out. But the models all show it making a slight turn to the northwest bringing it into the bend between Destin and Panama City. This track would give it another good hour or more of intensification.
  12. cptcatz
    Haiti is very prone to earthquakes and to tropical cyclones. Eventually you'll get them occurring close together. I can't see how one would cause the other to happen.
  13. cptcatz
    Recon found 52 knot flight winds and GFS is now showing a 995 mb landfall. I think the panhandle is gonna be in for a surprise.
  14. cptcatz
    Recon finding some impressive winds NE of the center. Interested to see what they say at 11am. Hurricane watches going up for the panhandle?
  15. cptcatz
    Grace doesn't seem to be gaining any latitude at all. Don't see how any of those HWRF runs of it getting north of Puerto Rico could verify. Looks like it could just cruise the Caribbean right into the Gulf.
  16. cptcatz
    Anyone know what rain totals are like in Cuba? I feel like intense convection has been sitting over Cuba for the past two days...
  17. cptcatz
    Can anyone explain what's going on with this structure? Will the storm drop one of these convection blobs or maybe will they start wrapping around each other and form an eye in the middle?
  18. cptcatz
    Interested to see what's happening in northern Guadalupe right now.
  19. cptcatz
    Looks like it's on a crash course for Antigua, should be getting good surface obs soon.
  20. cptcatz
    Looks like recon is going home without going through the biggest convection??
  21. cptcatz
    Why would they make that turn to the southeast? Wouldn't the wind directions point to the center being northwest of that turn?
  22. cptcatz
    Looks like the LLC might be right under the intense convection. I have a feeling we're gonna see some surprisingly big wind numbers when they find the center.
  23. cptcatz
    Recon is in. Will be very interesting to see what they find.
  24. cptcatz
    You can follow it here. They left from Aruba, probably have a couple hours until they get to the storm. https://www.tropicaltidbits.com/recon/
  25. cptcatz
    NHC said in the 5am disco that there probably isn't one.
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