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cptcatz

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Everything posted by cptcatz

  1. cptcatz
    NHC said in the 5am disco that there probably isn't one.
  2. cptcatz
    Best signal of the year so far from euro for a possible long tracker
  3. cptcatz
    This thing is a mess. I have no idea where the center is but the convection is moving due south. Can't see that being good for the structure.
  4. cptcatz
    It looks like all the bad weather is south of the center now. Unless the storm starts heading north I don't see south Florida getting too much.
  5. cptcatz
    Am I missing something? Looks like a hot mess to me.
  6. cptcatz
    Weird stuff going on with Fred this morning. Is it possible a new center could form south of Cuba? That would throw off all the models...
  7. cptcatz
    Well the 11pm advisory just came out... no hurricane watch, no additional tropical watches, storm still expected to pass south Florida as the weakest tropical storm categorized. But yeah, keep going with the red tagger.
  8. cptcatz
    Wait what? At 5pm the NHC forecasted Fred to be at 40 mph near South Florida with the bulk of the storm being on the west side of the state. Why would a hurricane watch be coming at 11pm for anywhere, let alone Broward County?
  9. cptcatz
    Convection is definitely slowly starting to fill in closer and closer to the swirl center. Still has a ways to go but if it keeps it up it could be a nice TS by the time it gets near southern Florida.
  10. cptcatz
    The swirl is clearly evident just west of Inagua, problem is there's no convection for hundreds of miles.
  11. cptcatz
    Aren't they doing basically what they did with Eta last year when it was over Central America?
  12. cptcatz
    Interesting 12z HWRF run. It shows it getting shredded by Hispanolia but then regenerates near the Bahamas and still hits Miami-Dade at 982 mb. Any way that's possible?
  13. cptcatz
    HWRF coming in hot
  14. cptcatz
    Convection is looking pretty bad, nearly the entire southern half of the storm is exposed. Wonder if it can overcome this before hitting land.
  15. cptcatz
    Isaias actually went right over Hispaniola and came off an intensified to a hurricane. Laura also survived a quick trip over Hispaniola.
  16. cptcatz
    Wide spread but lots of members showing the next one developing
  17. cptcatz
    Wouldn't be surprised to see 94L become a depression today seeing how it's looking this morning. Eager to see an ascat pass. Looking tight and juicy.
  18. cptcatz
    Am I the only one that doesn't understand 99% of AmpedVort's posts?
  19. cptcatz
    Dr. Phil says there's a very very low chance of El Nino forming
  20. cptcatz
    HWRF brings it down to 987 mb before being shredded by Hispaniola.
  21. cptcatz
    Euro is getting on board. You need to quit it with your quick judgements.
  22. cptcatz
    While the GFS curves the storm out, a bunch of the ensemble members keep it low into the islands. Definitely something to watch...
  23. cptcatz
    Interesting run by the icon...
  24. cptcatz
    Lol you must have not been following how accurate the models are for the past couple years.
  25. cptcatz
    The models can't seem to figure out where this thing is going to form. Going to be interesting to see where it does finally form and how the models alter their runs based on that. Seems we can't actually get anything from the models until that happens.
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