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cptcatz

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Everything posted by cptcatz

  1. 12z brings it right through the Bahamas including the islands that just got the eye of Dorian...
  2. Very interesting. This soon-to-be-95L could be another big one then.
  3. It's almost the exact same route that Dorian took through the Caribbean. Does anyone know how the GFS and Euro looked at this point for Dorian? Tropical Tidbits only goes back to September 2. I'd love to see the models from mid-August.
  4. He's just a late bloomer but eventually joins the party
  5. The last two GFS runs now show the wave behind 94L becoming Dorian 2.0...
  6. Now the 12z's Euro and GFS are in general agreement with a storm developing just north of Puerto Rico.
  7. It looks like it stalls 94L but then kinda merges it with the wave behind it which then develops it into a nice storm but keeps it out to sea. Will be interesting to see how it plays out.
  8. If it can stick together and make its way into the Caribbean Sea or Gulf of Mexico, it could have the potential to really ramp up. I don't think Dorian caused any upwelling in those areas so the water should be prime for intensification.
  9. Last two GFS runs (6z and 12z) now show it fizzling.
  10. Because it would bring catastrophic storm surge flooding into Chesapeake Bay, NYC Harbor, and Boston Harbor, while bringing flooding rains and torrential winds to Washington, Baltimore, NJ, NYC, and Boston.
  11. ^Boston getting wrecked in 2.5 weeks But the tropics have really come alive! From right to left we have Tropical Depression 8, Invest 91L, Hurricane Dorian, Tropical Storm Fernand, and Hurricane Juliette:
  12. Just something to keep in mind... these were the model tracks for Irma 2-3 days before it made the turn:
  13. Looks like we have two more waves coming off Africa that the Euro really likes developing over the past few runs...
  14. Obviously this is 2 weeks away so it really means nothing, but the GFS has the remnants of 92L going right over the same area.
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