Can anyone explain what's going on with this structure? Will the storm drop one of these convection blobs or maybe will they start wrapping around each other and form an eye in the middle?
Looks like the LLC might be right under the intense convection. I have a feeling we're gonna see some surprisingly big wind numbers when they find the center.
Well the 11pm advisory just came out... no hurricane watch, no additional tropical watches, storm still expected to pass south Florida as the weakest tropical storm categorized. But yeah, keep going with the red tagger.
Wait what? At 5pm the NHC forecasted Fred to be at 40 mph near South Florida with the bulk of the storm being on the west side of the state. Why would a hurricane watch be coming at 11pm for anywhere, let alone Broward County?
Convection is definitely slowly starting to fill in closer and closer to the swirl center. Still has a ways to go but if it keeps it up it could be a nice TS by the time it gets near southern Florida.
Interesting 12z HWRF run. It shows it getting shredded by Hispanolia but then regenerates near the Bahamas and still hits Miami-Dade at 982 mb. Any way that's possible?