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Holston_River_Rambler

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Everything posted by Holston_River_Rambler

  1. Holston_River_Rambler
    Energy starting to try and wrap up over western Nebraska at hour 81
  2. Holston_River_Rambler
    So far it looks pretty similar. A bunch of energy digging towards the western Gulf at hour 75, but the 18z ICON spooked me a bit so I don't want to say how it looks for sure, one way or another, lol.
  3. Holston_River_Rambler
    18z GFS is up and running
  4. Holston_River_Rambler
    EPS members through hour 138:
  5. Holston_River_Rambler
    12z EPS low clusters:
  6. Holston_River_Rambler
    Verbatim a bomb. Drops 30mb in 24 hours
  7. Holston_River_Rambler
    That's a pretty energy pass. And, what's more, another vort is really trying to catch it: 977 in Souther New Jersey:
  8. Holston_River_Rambler
    Comparison gif from 0z to 12z today time stamp is 18z Sunday:
  9. Holston_River_Rambler
    Ukie looked pretty good with the energy's approach, but dives it a little too far south:
  10. Holston_River_Rambler
    TT doesn't have the precip maps yet, but here are the 850s and SLPs:
  11. Holston_River_Rambler
    Check out how different the last 4 SLP maps look on the CMC:
  12. Holston_River_Rambler
    It's wild. Last 4 runs of the CMC, ending with 12z today:
  13. Holston_River_Rambler
    One thing I'm interested in seeing, if we get a vort track similar to what the 12z GFS is showing, is how the surface low hand off works in this situation. It almost looked like it tried to pop one in the NE Gulf, then off the SE coast. Would that perhaps mitigate some of the normal eastern valley warm nose issues? I don't know. I've never seen a storm take a track like this, as far as I can remember, while I've been tracking these on the forums.
  14. Holston_River_Rambler
    We're just going to pretend Kuchera rations don't exist on this one:
  15. Holston_River_Rambler
    Is John planning a trip to Chattanooga to something this Sunday?
  16. Holston_River_Rambler
    COD is out to 120 and we have this:
  17. Holston_River_Rambler
    IMO the vort is ever so slightly deeper and slower at 96
  18. Holston_River_Rambler
    Let us take a moment to gaze at the energy for this potential storm: Lookin' fat and sassy north of Hawaii
  19. Holston_River_Rambler
    Oh I agree the OP is far west, 100%. I guess I was just looking for something on the ensembles that suggested the energy was taking a similar track to the OP and popping a low that ran from vaguely New Orleans to somewhere near the Outer Banks.
  20. Holston_River_Rambler
    It would be interesting to see how weatherbell and weathermodels create their plots: I'm seeing a few lows that take a track similar to the 6z OP.
  21. Holston_River_Rambler
    6z Euro keeps the energy more intact than the 0z Euro and it is barreling towards the western Gulf at the end of its run: (edited to add the 6z GFS for comparison)
  22. Holston_River_Rambler
    I zoomed in on my 3 favorites for something a little easier to see:
  23. Holston_River_Rambler
    I don't know, I think there is a little support from the 6z GEFS members: Sorry for the horrible resolution, but it's all I've got. But there are a few members who take a similar track
  24. Holston_River_Rambler
    0z Euro wasn't really there yet, but IMO it did trend that way, with the energy dropping in more westerly and trying to round the trough:
  25. Holston_River_Rambler
    It's crazy how the last two runs of the GFS have turned it into a full blown Miller A type coastal, instead of an OTS suppressed storm.
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