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Holston_River_Rambler

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Everything posted by Holston_River_Rambler

  1. Pixie dust type flakes and pouring with nothing on the radar. I wish it was daylight. I think we would have had blizzard conditions here for a few minutes.
  2. Here is what I have. Sorry for having the camera turned up and down. I do be sleepy:
  3. It's snowing pretty good right now. As I type heard a tree come down, lol. I have a youtube video processing with the snow and the wind. Will post when it is ready.
  4. Winds are shifting up here in MoCo. More of a NW component now.
  5. I think we just want to stay in the left exit region of the jet as long as possible. The front is doing a lot of the lift and the jet is enhancing it. I’m not sure how to tell what the jet stream looks like in real time in the situation though.
  6. Stepped out for firewood and was just thinking the same thing. First cold front I can remember in along while where we could say it has a cold wind in front of it!
  7. The radar doesn't look too bad. You can see that either some are cutting in and out or they are having trouble with how low the precip is: Even a little bit of a connection to the Gulf.
  8. Might could be time to whip out ye olden topo map for analysis and disucssion : I'll be interested to see how my area does, since I'm in a limbo situation. 1300 feet or so, just on the edge of the plateau:
  9. Looks like Cumberland and Fentress counties in a WSW now too
  10. Well, I thought it couldn't go up much more..... At some point that has to drop pretty precipitously.
  11. Winter Solstice looking SE over the Great Eastern Valley from Frozen Head SP:
  12. MRX did go with the jet enhancing frontogenesis for the forcing mechanism wrt the front so hopefully that is a good sign for snowfall. I mean, it isn't the big story and it ain't a lot of snow, but even a crust would make the arctic chill more enjoyable for me.
  13. Speaking of Ninos I've been struck lately by the STJ involvement in a storm around the New Year as depicted by the GFS: Watch that little jet streak over Mexico get pulled up into the Pac jet. GFS may not have the details, but it has been very insistent on something like that happening. To be clear I don't think there is a chance for snow with this, just interested to see the STJ
  14. I think we've been in a pretty stable pattern since October: 2.5 warm weeks , 1.5 cold weeks. If that continues we should rotate back through around around Jan. 20th give or take a few days. If it doesn't, we probably have a major pattern change. Raindancewx was mentioning that 84-85 was a good (but not perfect) analog so far as this winter has progressed. He thought maybe Jan 20 - Feb 20 was the best chance for our forum area.
  15. If anyone is looking for a reason to hug the NAM this afternoon during happy hour, you could consider that it has been trending ever so slightly from a purely N --> S precip shield associated with the arctic front to one that is more SSW --> NNE. I feel like that orientation is better for any anafrontal sort of lift for precip.
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