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Holston_River_Rambler

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Everything posted by Holston_River_Rambler

  1. Holston_River_Rambler
    Yeah that’s what is confusing me. The models are showing some steady if not dramatic lift. Sort of an overrunning scenario. I would have thought that that would have been frontogenetic since presumably there’s a front nearby but pivotal maps don’t show much in the way of that. There’s something (we probably several things) subtle going on in different levels of the atmosphere that are lifting the moisture. No one culprit, slow but steady. Honestly I kind of like that approach more than the drama of the last storm. At least for my part of the plateau.
  2. Holston_River_Rambler
    Anyone want to take a stab at the lifting mechanics of this system? The 500mb vort looks strung out and weak. The jet dynamics look weak to me too. I looked at the frontogenesis maps on Pivotal and they didn't look anything like this last system. Is it that fabled lift source, isentropic upglide?
  3. Holston_River_Rambler
    It's a Holston River special, lol. Knoxville to Kingsport, at least in TN.
  4. Holston_River_Rambler
    Euro looking good for MBY this run:
  5. Holston_River_Rambler
    Still having some issues getting clouds to clear out sw of Knoxville, but here is a nice shot of the snow cover using visible and day phase GOES 16 imagery:
  6. Holston_River_Rambler
    Someone has been cutting lumber on that side of the Mountain. Made a nice overlook for me, lol. I'm not sure if it is on private land or the State forest, but it is right off the trail that climbs the mountain. Only about a 3/4 mile hike up to that clearing. The sun's over Little Brushy mountain in that one pic. I live pretty much at the base of it.
  7. Holston_River_Rambler
    Just about 3 miles north of my place, on Lone Mountain: Looking east from Lone Mt: Looking at Frozen Head yesterday, from Highway 62: Coalfield yesterday, looking Northeast:
  8. Holston_River_Rambler
    6z Euro:
  9. Holston_River_Rambler
    Here are the 6z GEFS members:
  10. Holston_River_Rambler
    18z Euro for Thursday:
  11. Holston_River_Rambler
    Lord have mercy, 15z SREF is resolving the shortwave as stronger run over run: Here we go again, I guess...
  12. Holston_River_Rambler
    Here are the 12z EPS members:
  13. Holston_River_Rambler
    Whatever was wrong with imgur is fixed now:
  14. Holston_River_Rambler
    Looks like the control was even further south than the OP. Having trouble uploading pics right now though.
  15. Holston_River_Rambler
    Here is the 850mb rel. velocity gifified: I don't know though. I'm just not very enthused by the 500mb energy: Late add: Is the QB from the transfer portal?
  16. Holston_River_Rambler
    Weather weenie rule # 54
  17. Holston_River_Rambler
    Euro dug the energy for the late week system a bit more at 12z:
  18. Holston_River_Rambler
    On the drive in from Mossy Grove to Bearden I’d say the big winner was around Pellissippi State. Snow accumulations started to taper off around Coalfield who I’d say got 1/4”. Oliver Springs really got screwed. Nothing even on roof tops or grassy surfaces. There was at least a faint hint of a dusting on the top of the hill between Oliver Springs and Oak Ridge. As Runman said OR itself looked pretty bleak. Snow picked up again on the hill just past Oak Ride on 62 heading toward pellissippi parkway.
  19. Holston_River_Rambler
    A couple of pics from my area: Obligatory deck pic: Have to head into to Knoxville for a dental appointment, so will be interesting to see how it played out from here to there.
  20. Holston_River_Rambler
    Ended up with about half an inch here in Morgan County. Congrats to all those east and northeast!
  21. Holston_River_Rambler
    The last few frames of the correlation coefficient radar show it starting to accelerate, esp. from NW to SE. The ring around MRX radar site is getting smaller as the snow elevation drops.
  22. Holston_River_Rambler
    Just now changing over here in Morgan. Fatties and still a little rain.
  23. Holston_River_Rambler
    I think the dynamics of the system will help more in the valley as it starts to really deepen east of the Apps. But on he subject of arctic air, you can see the rain snow line of correlation coefficient moving NW to SE. the green line as it moves from Bowling Green/ Portland and Glasgow, KY to Lafayette, TN.
  24. Holston_River_Rambler
    I could be 100% wrong about this, but it looks like as the energy is starting to close off and tilt more neutral, the TROWAL feature is starting to develop in West TN: I think it is that small area of precip. starting to build back barely west of main moisture, just south of Jackson, TN. You can also see the back edge of the lift the shortwave is producing (colder cloud tops/ darker purples over the same area of west TN) turning almost south to north on satellite (and maybe ever so slightly SSE to NNW):
  25. Holston_River_Rambler
    How are things looking in Cumberland @Wintersnow888?
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