midatlanticweather

Until then, heavy eggnog!

Sudden Stratospheric Warming https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Sudden_stratospheric_warming This may be better https://www.metoffice.gov.uk/learning/wind/sudden-stratospheric-warming

Exactly right! When we rely on SSW we are in trouble because we do not have a clue who reaps the benefits. I remember both the above! Great points! Let's hope it is us. I would rather hope for typical patterns that help us and hope the SSW does not screw them up!

Flood warning just posted. Little swimming pool in my back yard

So another ark moment around Christmas and then a heat wave. Great.. The Grinch stole Christmas

Well dang! Time to go guzzle some eggnog! I think there is a general trend to crappy - how we get there is in debate..how long we stay there is based on how bad of a pattern we are talking. As far as a big rainstorm, you can bet that will happen! We only struggle to get moisture when it is cold. Working on shattering every rain record we can!

@WxUSAF and @Superstorm all pointing out the Screaming! One of these systems (if they happen) should be called John Jacob Engleheimer Schmidt

Shoot! Get that colder and suppressed a bit and NC will score again...

I swear I posted a GFS Snow Map a week or so ago that looked like this.

Bob, Do not take this personally, but I hope you are wrong... I think you are right. We want a good set up and not a fluke or even a quick change because they tend to quickly change unfavorable. I hope things begin progressing sooner, that is all. A White Christmas would be great! 10% chance maybe that could happen.. but I do not feel it is 0%, even with the atrocious look of the GFS.

I just measure it... Probably about the same as your back yard here. Ripping virga

26/20 - May hook up the hose and air compressor and try the snow machine idea! May not!

Was there an output for the 18z euro?

15 for a low is very impressive out my way!!

At least the 384 hr GFS has a noreaster.. I can relax now

Put a fork in it for your back yard... Their is singing going on by a rather large woman. It is a low ball outside the strike zone, do not swing at it... It's not happening... Go home because it is not even a go at all!

Wow. 6z GFS hates Virginia. What an odd storm

What we already know and summed up well.. But terrible for mby

Anyone see this! WHAAT!!! LOL

This picture SUCKS!

The synoptic elements for the storm are not! So we can start looking at items that will impact Day 4 by Day 2/3.. so we are getting close to shutting the window! We can still be wrong, but it will have to be something new the models have been missing consistently for MANY MANY model runs now..

And phases are not easy...

The phase idea seems less and less likely... it was the Hail Mary for us weenies.. and, like Lucy taking the football away, it is less and less likely! Here is the deal: Been great to have a threat! Southern streams are so wet and this will be a doozy of a system Thank goodness this is even before the start of Meteorological Winter. I will hate looking at % of normal snow for the season and be far less than south We have time! Hoping long range gives us more hope. There is probably going to be a north trend, but that wall has to come down.. it may really hurt or be a 30 minute ride to see a lot of snow! See y'all at 11 ETA - Meant regular Winter! Meteorological winter started December 1st! OOPS!

I just see the wall of 1040 Highs depicted..