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midatlanticweather

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Everything posted by midatlanticweather

  1. midatlanticweather
    Coastal gets going a bit further south so less love up this way. Gives RIC or just north reason to rejoice a bit.
  2. midatlanticweather
    We have seen this both be beneficial as well as painful.. it is not as uncommon as you would think! Even the December Storm had a shift north. It is always a possibility and many times if you are on the north fringe of the best precip, it ends up shifting in the last 24 hours.. especially these North to South gradient systems. But yes.. usually they kill chances and we are all left deflated.
  3. midatlanticweather
    What side of the front you end up on..southerly or northerly
  4. midatlanticweather
    Maybe warnings
  5. midatlanticweather
    Thinking those calling for the large areas of 6 to 10 inches in the region are going to find these amounts are isolated and/or higher elevations. 2 to 4 seems prudent and the higher amounts will be 4 to 6 inches for the majority of people. We will see if the EURO holds serve, but I suspect it will.
  6. midatlanticweather
    Yep! Exactly!
  7. midatlanticweather
    I saw Kuchera ratio was pretty high out your way. Hoping for that as well! We all need a win - even if it is not the biggest event, we want to maximize on all we get.
  8. midatlanticweather
    See you all for 12Z - One honest question - What happened to the Panasonic? Was it so worthless no one looks at it, or was it discontinued? I am being lazy because I am sure I could look that up!
  9. midatlanticweather
    I hope this is all a trend that ups the ante at noon - we will see watches expand (as we all know - call me mr. obvious) - I like seeing thing trend better.
  10. midatlanticweather
    Disregard earlier post! needed to read through it all. Basically, a 2 - 4 inch for all and some folks will get some bands of 4 to 6 - Coastal is a no show for us.. Easy to see consensus. The stripe of heaviest north of Richmond up to about Fredericksburg and that is a solid 4 to 8 favoring 6" for the highest amounts - about my thinking all along. Richmond is a mixing challenge! Gonna see some spots get the 7 to 10, but they seem more isolated to me until you get to the higher elevations. Modest event. So much better than what things have been. Hoping for all positive trends today!
  11. midatlanticweather
    Psu..is that better waa snow up your way or am I wrong?
  12. midatlanticweather
    Seems a steady decline trend overall - Yes GFS. FV3 have been juicier but, in general, we are not seeing positive trends... Maybe 12z Euro will surprise, but I am thinking we see a further erosion and we have small WAA to work with and hope for some banding.. dangit all!
  13. midatlanticweather
    Looking forward to euro 6z run.. well..not certain I am or not but interested
  14. midatlanticweather
    Think this is the start of a trend?? We have to wait and see..gefs will be helpful
  15. midatlanticweather
    Now that is different! That coastal better do the work!
  16. midatlanticweather
    This was a mixed message - better coverage - less fringworthy - but less QPF.. now we need the QPF to step up a notch or two - as every southern system has seemed to do (at least when it rains) and we will all do a snow dance!
  17. midatlanticweather
    Boooo... that is not a trend I want to see continue. It looked better for coverage, but less for output. Your post above (before this one) said 0Z as well - I know you meant 12Z
  18. midatlanticweather
    This looks better - as long as the NS doesn't come in to squash the fun!
  19. midatlanticweather
    It gets easy to put on weenie glasses when looking at the models. Also, the desired and believed North trend. Nothing seems to point to shutout, but we are not super far from something more substantial. I am ok with a light snow when I was thinking it was a long shot last week, but we always think the chances of snow in the region are limited, so we want to capitalize on every opportunity and have it in our back yard. My thinking is just N of Richmond does best and of course SW VA and Mountains are a given. Hoping for the run up the coast though... at least there is a chance!
  20. midatlanticweather
    This looks south! But better system for Central VA! Atmospheric memory? Well it better trend better going forward?
  21. midatlanticweather
    Trends of better were lost this run. See if Dr No says yes instead
  22. midatlanticweather
    Anything under 6 inches is a nuisance snow..
  23. midatlanticweather
    Bounce back and forth between Pivotal and Tropical Tidbits to see who gets the update first!
  24. midatlanticweather
    My thinking is somewhere there will stripe with a 3 to 5" - mountains will squeeze a bit more - In general though we will want that stripe north of where it has been heading! We also want the system a bit stronger. I do not think we are thinking much more than this. Outside the 3 to 5" stripe will be a 1 to 3" area.. and then the fringes of course (which we all hope is not in our back yards) I think anything more is wishful thinking.. even this may be wishful thinking! Less is of course possible with the squash factors in place and the strung out look! So we fine tune and hope for a north/stronger trend.. but no one should get too excited or upset. Things are better than they have been!
  25. midatlanticweather
    Definite step away from storm.. We want some consistency in placement! I am out - until 0z! No more trends south.. This would be a great run if we were under 72 hours..
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