You have targeted that timeframe from way back - you and Bob both said that we would probably not have a meaningful flip until the 15th or beyond. So true is this that I scheduled something and noted to the people I was scheduling that we may have weather concerns due to the changes I was thinking may occur around mid-month. So it has been a thought for a while. I honestly thought, with this being an El Nino winter, we would be backloaded. Anything before was gravy, as it always is! We were baited into early belief with the November appetizer and the Carolina/Southern VA Crusher. It makes sense climo-wise as well - which you point out here.